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Hurricane Lorenzo Forecast Advisory Number 16

2019-09-26 16:52:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 26 2019 000 WTNT23 KNHC 261452 TCMAT3 HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132019 1500 UTC THU SEP 26 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 40.2W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT.......100NE 60SE 40SW 100NW. 34 KT.......220NE 120SE 80SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 270SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 40.2W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 39.8W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.7N 41.4W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 100NW. 34 KT...220NE 120SE 100SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.5N 42.6W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...220NE 120SE 100SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.2N 43.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 140SE 100SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.9N 43.9W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 160SE 100SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 25.2N 43.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 110SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 29.0N 41.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 34.0N 37.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 40.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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