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Post-Tropical Cyclone ANDREA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2013-06-07 22:50:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUN 07 2013 000 FONT11 KNHC 072050 PWSAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013 2100 UTC FRI JUN 07 2013 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 1 3 6 12 NA NA NA TROP DEPRESSION 22 26 29 38 NA NA NA TROPICAL STORM 76 66 59 46 NA NA NA HURRICANE 2 5 6 4 NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 2 5 5 3 NA NA NA HUR CAT 2 X X X 1 NA NA NA HUR CAT 3 X X X X NA NA NA HUR CAT 4 X X X X NA NA NA HUR CAT 5 X X X X NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40KT 40KT 35KT 35KT NA NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 21(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 10(10) 5(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 40(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 32(32) 3(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 33(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X 4( 4) 41(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 29(29) 18(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) YARMOUTH NS 50 X 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MONCTON NB 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ST JOHN NB 34 X 5( 5) 11(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) EASTPORT ME 34 X 10(10) 7(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X 13(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) AUGUSTA ME 34 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PORTLAND ME 34 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CONCORD NH 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BOSTON MA 34 X 17(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) HYANNIS MA 34 X 43(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) HYANNIS MA 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NANTUCKET MA 34 1 57(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) NANTUCKET MA 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NANTUCKET MA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PROVIDENCE RI 34 1 22(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HARTFORD CT 34 1 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MONTAUK POINT 34 3 26(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) MONTAUK POINT 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW YORK CITY 34 8 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) NEWARK NJ 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) TRENTON NJ 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ATLANTIC CITY 34 22 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) BALTIMORE MD 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 15 X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WASHINGTON DC 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 42 X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) RICHMOND VA 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK NAS 34 48 X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) NORFOLK VA 34 62 X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) WALLOPS CDA 34 43 X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) CAPE HATTERAS 34 90 X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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