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Remnants of John Forecast Discussion Number 20
2024-09-27 22:37:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM CST Fri Sep 27 2024 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 272037 TCDEP5 Remnants Of John Discussion Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102024 300 PM CST Fri Sep 27 2024 Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the low-level center of John has dissipated. Therefore, the system is no longer a tropical cyclone, and this is the last NHC advisory. The monsoon trough associated with the remnants of John will bring additional very heavy rainfall to coastal portions of southwest Mexico through Saturday. The additional rainfall totals will be falling across areas that have received extreme rainfall amounts over the past few days. This heavy rainfall will likely cause significant and catastrophic life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides to the Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacán. For additional information on the monsoon trough associated with the remnants of John, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/2100Z 18.5N 103.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Kelly
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Remnants of John (EP5/EP102024)
2024-09-27 22:37:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...JOHN DISSIPATES OVER MEXICO... ...CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 3:00 PM CST Fri Sep 27 the center of John was located near 18.5, -103.5 with movement NW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Remnants of John Public Advisory Number 20
2024-09-27 22:37:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM CST Fri Sep 27 2024 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 272036 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Remnants Of John Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102024 300 PM CST Fri Sep 27 2024 ...JOHN DISSIPATES OVER MEXICO... ...CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.5N 103.5W ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM ESE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM WNW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued all Tropical Storm Warnings. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the remnants of John were located near latitude 18.5 North, longitude 103.5 West. The remnants are moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through Saturday, the remnants of John are expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with locally over 5 inches across portions of the Mexican States of Guerrero and Michoacán. Additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches with locally over 4 inches are expected through the remainder of today across the Mexican states of Colima and western Oaxaca. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with the remnants of John, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the monsoon trough associated with the remnants of John, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Kelly
Category: Transportation and Logistics