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Tropical Storm EMILY Forecast Advisory Number 2
2017-07-31 13:39:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1200 UTC MON JUL 31 2017 000 WTNT21 KNHC 311139 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM EMILY SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062017 1200 UTC MON JUL 31 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ANCLOTE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANCLOTE RIVER TO BONITA BEACH FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 83.2W AT 31/1200Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 95 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 50SE 40SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 83.2W AT 31/1200Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 84.0W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 27.7N 82.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 50SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 28.3N 80.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 29.8N 78.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 31.6N 76.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.5N 72.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N 83.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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