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Tropical Storm Mario Forecast Advisory Number 17
2019-09-21 16:47:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 211447 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM MARIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142019 1500 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 110.5W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 75SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 110.5W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 110.4W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.9N 111.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 80SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.1N 112.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.4N 113.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 23.6N 113.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 25.2N 114.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 110.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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