je.st

Home › rick

Tag: rick

Summary for Tropical Storm RICK (EP1/EP212015)

2015-11-21 09:36:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...RICK CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A COUPLE OF DAYS... As of 2:00 AM MST Sat Nov 21 the center of RICK was located near 16.9, -113.8 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Tags: summary storm tropical rick

Tropical Storm RICK Public Advisory Number 12

2015-11-21 09:36:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 AM MST SAT NOV 21 2015 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 210836 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212015 200 AM MST SAT NOV 21 2015 ...RICK CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A COUPLE OF DAYS... SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.9N 113.8W ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rick was located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 113.8 West. Rick is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected through tonight. A northwestward motion is forecast Sunday and Sunday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Rick is expected to become a remnant low by Sunday night. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) to the east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: number public storm advisory

Tropical Storm RICK Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

2015-11-21 09:36:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT NOV 21 2015 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 210836 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM RICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212015 0900 UTC SAT NOV 21 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER BERG

Tags: number speed wind storm

Tropical Storm RICK Forecast Advisory Number 12

2015-11-21 09:36:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT NOV 21 2015 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 210835 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212015 0900 UTC SAT NOV 21 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 113.8W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 15SW 15NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 113.8W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 113.4W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.2N 114.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.9N 116.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.0N 117.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.1N 118.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 21.8N 119.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 22.5N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 113.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

Tags: number storm advisory tropical