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Summary for Hurricane KATE (AT2/AL122015)

2015-11-11 21:34:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...HURRICANE KATE CONTINUES TO RACE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL TONIGHT... As of 5:00 PM AST Wed Nov 11 the center of KATE was located near 38.2, -56.4 with movement ENE at 44 mph. The minimum central pressure was 985 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.

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Hurricane KATE Public Advisory Number 12

2015-11-11 21:34:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST WED NOV 11 2015 000 WTNT32 KNHC 112034 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122015 500 PM AST WED NOV 11 2015 ...HURRICANE KATE CONTINUES TO RACE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.2N 56.4W ABOUT 625 MI...1005 KM NE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 44 MPH...70 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Kate was located near latitude 38.2 North, longitude 56.4 West. Kate is moving toward the east-northeast near 44 mph (70 km/h). A slower motion toward the east-northeast to northeastward is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds remain near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Kate is forecast to lose tropical characteristics by tonight, but remain a strong post-tropical cyclone during the next couple of days. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Hurricane KATE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

2015-11-11 21:34:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED NOV 11 2015 000 FONT12 KNHC 112034 PWSAT2 HURRICANE KATE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122015 2100 UTC WED NOV 11 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS ...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Hurricane KATE Forecast Advisory Number 12

2015-11-11 21:34:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED NOV 11 2015 000 WTNT22 KNHC 112033 TCMAT2 HURRICANE KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122015 2100 UTC WED NOV 11 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 56.4W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 38 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT.......150NE 210SE 180SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 210SE 300SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 56.4W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 58.2W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 40.1N 52.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...240NE 300SE 180SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 41.5N 48.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 100NW. 34 KT...360NE 420SE 180SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 42.2N 45.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. 34 KT...480NE 480SE 150SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 43.9N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. 34 KT...480NE 480SE 100SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 51.9N 25.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...240NE 480SE 180SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 57.7N 13.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.2N 56.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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