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Tropical Depression AMANDA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 28
2014-05-29 16:31:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU MAY 29 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 291431 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 1500 UTC THU MAY 29 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Depression AMANDA Forecast Advisory Number 28
2014-05-29 16:31:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU MAY 29 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 291431 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 1500 UTC THU MAY 29 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 110.0W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 110.0W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 110.2W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.5N 109.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 16.6N 108.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 16.6N 108.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 16.7N 108.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.1N 109.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 110.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Storm AMANDA Graphics
2014-05-29 11:07:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 29 May 2014 08:32:20 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 29 May 2014 09:03:48 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm AMANDA (EP1/EP012014)
2014-05-29 10:32:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...AMANDA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY... As of 2:00 AM PDT Thu May 29 the center of AMANDA was located near 16.8, -110.9 with movement NE at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm AMANDA Public Advisory Number 27
2014-05-29 10:32:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT THU MAY 29 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 290832 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 200 AM PDT THU MAY 29 2014 ...AMANDA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.8N 110.9W ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.9 WEST. AMANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED TODAY... FOLLOWED BY A SLOW EASTWARD DRIFT ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND AMANDA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY AND WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW BY FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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