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Tropical Storm AMANDA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25

2014-05-28 22:37:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED MAY 28 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 282036 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 2100 UTC WED MAY 28 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) 1(11) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Summary for Tropical Storm AMANDA (EP1/EP012014)

2014-05-28 22:36:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...AMANDA CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN... As of 2:00 PM PDT Wed May 28 the center of AMANDA was located near 15.8, -111.6 with movement NE at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

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Tropical Storm AMANDA Public Advisory Number 25

2014-05-28 22:36:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT WED MAY 28 2014 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 282036 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM AMANDA ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 200 PM PDT WED MAY 28 2014 ...AMANDA CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.8N 111.6W ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST. AMANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND AMANDA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Tropical Storm AMANDA Forecast Advisory Number 25

2014-05-28 22:36:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED MAY 28 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 282035 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012014 2100 UTC WED MAY 28 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 111.6W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 111.6W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 111.7W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 16.3N 110.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.9N 109.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.4N 108.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.7N 108.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.6N 109.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 16.7N 110.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 16.0N 112.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 111.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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