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Hurricane Humberto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 29
2019-09-19 22:33:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 19 2019 000 FONT14 KNHC 192033 PWSAT4 HURRICANE HUMBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019 2100 UTC THU SEP 19 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 15(15) 17(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X 17(17) 20(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 17(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) BURGEO NFLD 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SABLE ISLAND 34 43 8(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Summary for Hurricane Humberto (AT4/AL092019)
2019-09-19 22:33:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HUMBERTO EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT... ...LARGE SWELLS CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA AND MUCH OF THE EAST COAST OF THE U.S... As of 5:00 PM AST Thu Sep 19 the center of Humberto was located near 38.5, -58.7 with movement NE at 24 mph. The minimum central pressure was 960 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 105 mph.
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Hurricane Humberto Public Advisory Number 29
2019-09-19 22:33:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Thu Sep 19 2019 000 WTNT34 KNHC 192032 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Humberto Advisory Number 29 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092019 500 PM AST Thu Sep 19 2019 ...HUMBERTO EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT... ...LARGE SWELLS CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA AND MUCH OF THE EAST COAST OF THE U.S... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.5N 58.7W ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM NE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Humberto was located near latitude 38.5 North, longitude 58.7 West. Humberto is moving toward the northeast near 24 mph (39 km/h). A slower north- northeastward motion is expected tonight and Friday. A turn toward the east-northeast is expected to commence by Friday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. The hurricane is expected to slowly weaken and become a post-tropical cyclone tonight. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 380 miles (610 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swells and dangerous surf generated by Humberto will continue along the coast of Bermuda during the next day or two, and these could continue to cause coastal flooding. Swells will continue to affect the northwestern Bahamas and much of the coast of the United States from east-central Florida to the Mid-Atlantic States during the next couple of days. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office and the Bermuda Weather Service. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Hurricane Humberto Forecast Advisory Number 29
2019-09-19 22:32:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 19 2019 000 WTNT24 KNHC 192032 TCMAT4 HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019 2100 UTC THU SEP 19 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 58.7W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 21 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. 50 KT.......150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT.......330NE 240SE 180SW 330NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 480SE 960SW 600NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 58.7W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 59.3W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 40.4N 57.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...270NE 200SE 150SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 42.8N 55.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 44.6N 51.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 80SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 200SE 180SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 45.6N 44.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 80SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 200SE 180SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N 58.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Hurricane Jerry Graphics
2019-09-19 19:53:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 19 Sep 2019 17:53:45 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 19 Sep 2019 15:32:11 GMT
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