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Hurricane Jose Public Advisory Number 53
2017-09-18 16:46:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM EDT Mon Sep 18 2017 000 WTNT32 KNHC 181446 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 53 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 1100 AM EDT Mon Sep 18 2017 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.9N 71.1W ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM ESE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 510 MI...815 KM S OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from Watch Hill, Rhode Island, to Hull, Massachusetts, including Block Island, Martha's Vineyard, and Nantucket. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Watch Hill to Hull * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Fenwick Island to Sandy Hook * Delaware Bay South * East Rockaway Inlet to Watch Hill A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to 36 hours. Interests elsewhere along the U.S. east coast from North Carolina northward to New England should monitor the progress of Jose. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located near latitude 33.9 North, longitude 71.1 West. Jose is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue during the next day or so. A turn to the northeast is expected to occur on Tuesday night. On the forecast track, the center of Jose is forecast to pass well offshore of the Outer Banks of North Carolina today, pass well east of the Delmarva peninsula tonight and Tuesday, and pass well to the east of the New Jersey coast on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the warning area Tuesday night or early Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area beginning on Tuesday. SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas, and much of the U.S. east coast. These swells are likely to cause dangerous surf and rip current conditions for the next several days in these areas. For more information, please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: Jose is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over eastern Long Island, southeast Connecticut, southern Rhode Island, and southeast Massachusetts, including Martha's Vineyard and Nantucket through Wednesday. Jose is also expected to produce total rain accumulations up to 2 inches along the mid-Atlantic coast, and from southeast New York to coastal Maine. This rainfall could cause isolated flooding. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Hurricane Jose Forecast Advisory Number 53
2017-09-18 16:46:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 18 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 181446 TCMAT2 HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 53 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 1500 UTC MON SEP 18 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WATCH HILL... RHODE ISLAND... TO HULL... MASSACHUSETTS... INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND... MARTHA'S VINEYARD... AND NANTUCKET. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WATCH HILL TO HULL * BLOCK ISLAND * MARTHA'S VINEYARD * NANTUCKET A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FENWICK ISLAND TO SANDY HOOK * DELAWARE BAY SOUTH * EAST ROCKAWAY INLET TO WATCH HILL A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 71.1W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......190NE 200SE 110SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 300SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 71.1W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 71.2W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.1N 71.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...190NE 200SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.7N 71.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 38.2N 70.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 39.4N 70.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 140SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 40.0N 67.9W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 39.1N 68.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 38.5N 68.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N 71.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Hurricane Jose Graphics
2017-09-18 14:10:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 18 Sep 2017 12:10:31 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 18 Sep 2017 11:49:08 GMT
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Hurricane Jose Graphics
2017-09-18 13:49:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 18 Sep 2017 11:49:08 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 18 Sep 2017 11:49:08 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane Jose (AT2/AL122017)
2017-09-18 13:43:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING JOSE... ...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES... As of 8:00 AM EDT Mon Sep 18 the center of Jose was located near 33.5, -71.2 with movement N at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 976 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.
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