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Tropical Storm Chris Public Advisory Number 8

2018-07-08 16:33:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM EDT Sun Jul 08 2018 000 WTNT33 KNHC 081432 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Chris Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032018 1100 AM EDT Sun Jul 08 2018 ...CHRIS FORECAST TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE THE U.S. COAST... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.9N 75.0W ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the coast of North Carolina should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Chris was located near latitude 32.9 North, longitude 75.0 West. Chris has barely moved since yesterday and no significant motion is expected during the next 2 to 3 days. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Chris is forecast to become a hurricane on Monday with some additional strengthening thereafter. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure recently reported by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft was 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Chris are expected to increase and affect portions of the coasts of North Carolina and the mid-Atlantic states into early next week. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Tropical Storm Chris Forecast Advisory Number 8

2018-07-08 16:33:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUL 08 2018 000 WTNT23 KNHC 081432 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032018 1500 UTC SUN JUL 08 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 75.0W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 75.0W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 75.0W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 33.0N 74.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 32.5N 74.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 40SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 32.5N 75.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 40SE 40SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 32.5N 75.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 34.5N 72.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 41.0N 66.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 50.0N 52.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.9N 75.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Summary for Tropical Storm Chris (AT3/AL032018)

2018-07-08 11:52:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM CHRIS... ...FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY WHILE IT MEANDERS OFF THE CAROLINA COAST... As of 5:00 AM EDT Sun Jul 8 the center of Chris was located near 33.0, -75.5 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 1010 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

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Tropical Storm Chris Public Advisory Number 7

2018-07-08 11:52:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM EDT Sun Jul 08 2018 000 WTNT33 KNHC 080951 CCA TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Chris Advisory Number 7...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032018 500 AM EDT Sun Jul 08 2018 Corrected wording in hazards section ...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM CHRIS... ...FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY WHILE IT MEANDERS OFF THE CAROLINA COAST... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.0N 75.5W ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the coast of North Carolina should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Chris was located by an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft near latitude 33.0 North, longitude 75.5 West. Chris is forecast to meander off the coast of the Carolinas for the next several days. An acceleration toward the northeast is expected to begin on Tuesday. Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Chris is expected to become a hurricane by mid-week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure from reconnaissance data is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Chris are expected to increase and affect portions of the coasts of North Carolina and the mid-Atlantic states into early next week. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. WIND: Winds to gale force not directly associated with Chris are expected along the North Carolina coast and over Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds during the next day or so. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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Tropical Storm Chris Graphics

2018-07-08 11:00:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 08 Jul 2018 09:00:09 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 08 Jul 2018 09:00:09 GMT

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