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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-19 19:30:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 191730 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 19 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has initiated advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty-Three-E, located just offshore of the Pacific coast of Guatemala. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles south-southwest of Zihuatanejo, Mexico, are gradually becoming better organized. Environmental conditions are expected to become increasingly favorable for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form later today or tomorrow while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph, well offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty-Three-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty-Three-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-19 13:45:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 191144 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Oct 19 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure centered a couple of hundred miles south of Zihuatanejo, Mexico, has become a little better organized overnight. Environmental conditions are expected to become increasingly favorable for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the low moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system centered less than 100 miles off the coast of Guatemala continue to show signs of organization, and it is possible that a tropical depression could be forming. If this trend continues, then advisories could be initiated on this system later today. This disturbance is forecast to move generally westward near the coast of southern Mexico, and interests in that area should monitor the progress of the low during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-19 07:03:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 190503 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Oct 18 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico has changed very little in organization during the past several hours. Environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for development in a day or two, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a small low pressure system located just south of Guatemala has become more organized over the past few hours. Some additional development of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form during the next few days while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward near the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-19 01:54:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 182354 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Oct 18 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. This system has become less organized since yesterday, however, environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for development and a tropical depression is still likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another trough of low pressure has developed within a large area of disturbed weather that extends from Central America westward to south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Some gradual development of this system is possible over the next few days while it moves slowly westward, near the coast of southern Mexico. Additional information on the broad area of disturbed weather that extends from Central America to south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-18 19:39:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 181739 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Oct 18 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An extensive area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extends from Central America westward to the south of the coast of Mexico for several hundred miles. A broad area of low pressure is embedded within this region of disturbed weather near the Gulf of Tehuantepec, but satellite images indicate that the system has lost organization compared to the past couple of days. Still, environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && For additional information on the low near the Gulf of Tehuantepec please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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