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Tropical Storm Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 46
2018-10-10 22:40:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED OCT 10 2018 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 102039 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 2100 UTC WED OCT 10 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA TO CABO SAN LAZARO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA TO SAN EVARISTO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN SONORA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SERGIO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE WATCH AREA LATER TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 122.4W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......110NE 120SE 110SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 240SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 122.4W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 123.1W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 20.7N 120.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 23.3N 117.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 26.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 29.0N 111.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 140SE 100SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 33.0N 101.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 122.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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