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Tropical Depression Eighteen Forecast Advisory Number 1

2020-09-07 10:44:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 07 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 070844 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 0900 UTC MON SEP 07 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ALL OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CABO VERDE ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 20.3W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 20.3W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 19.8W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.6N 22.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.0N 24.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.4N 27.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.8N 30.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.4N 32.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.1N 35.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 19.7N 39.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 22.4N 43.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 20.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 07/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Depression Eighteen Graphics

2017-10-28 19:52:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 28 Oct 2017 17:52:39 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 28 Oct 2017 15:25:49 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Depression Eighteen (AT3/AL182017)

2017-10-28 19:51:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA AND SPREADING NORTHWARD OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA... As of 2:00 PM EDT Sat Oct 28 the center of Eighteen was located near 21.8, -82.4 with movement NNE at 25 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression Eighteen Public Advisory Number 4A

2017-10-28 19:51:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 PM EDT Sat Oct 28 2017 000 WTNT33 KNHC 281750 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Eighteen Intermediate Advisory Number 4A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182017 200 PM EDT Sat Oct 28 2017 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA AND SPREADING NORTHWARD OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.8N 82.4W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM ENE OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM S OF HAVANA CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cuban provinces of Isla de la Juventud, La Habana, Ciudad de la Habana, Matanzas, Cienfuegos, and Villa Clara * Northwestern Bahamas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Craig Key to Golden Beach * Central Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12-24 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours. Interests in the Cayman Islands should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eighteen was located by weather radars from Cuba and Grand Cayman near latitude 21.8 North, longitude 82.4 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today. A motion toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected to begin tonight and continue through Sunday. On the forecast track, the center will move across west-central Cuba this afternoon and evening, across the Straits of Florida and near the Florida Keys overnight, and across the northwestern Bahamas Sunday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm overnight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce the following rainfall totals: The Cayman Islands, western and central Cuba, northern Bahamas: 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches through Sunday. These rainfall amounts may produce life threatening flash floods and mudslides. South Florida, including the Keys: 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum totals of 6 inches through Sunday. These rainfall totals may produce flash flooding, especially in urbanized areas. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the warning area in Cuba later today and the northwestern Bahamas tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible across the upper Florida Keys and southeast Florida overnight and in the central Bahamas by Sunday morning. TORNADOES: A couple of brief tornadoes are possible across extreme southern Florida and the Florida Keys this afternoon and evening. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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