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Hurricane ORLENE Forecast Advisory Number 19

2016-09-15 16:39:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 15 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 151439 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ORLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162016 1500 UTC THU SEP 15 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 122.0W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 122.0W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 121.5W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.7N 123.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.5N 125.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.5N 128.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.5N 130.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.6N 135.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 20.2N 140.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 21.0N 143.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 122.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Summary for Tropical Storm ORLENE (EP1/EP162016)

2016-09-15 10:32:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...ORLENE REMAINING WELL OUT TO SEA AS A TROPICAL STORM... As of 2:00 AM PDT Thu Sep 15 the center of ORLENE was located near 20.1, -121.2 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 991 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.

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Tropical Storm ORLENE Public Advisory Number 18

2016-09-15 10:32:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 AM PDT THU SEP 15 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 150831 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ORLENE ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162016 200 AM PDT THU SEP 15 2016 ...ORLENE REMAINING WELL OUT TO SEA AS A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.1N 121.2W ABOUT 750 MI...1210 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Orlene was located near latitude 20.1 North, longitude 121.2 West. Orlene is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue at a faster rate of forward speed through Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Landsea

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Summary for Hurricane ORLENE (EP1/EP162016)

2016-09-14 04:48:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...ORLENE DRIFTING NORTHWARD... ...EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD ON WEDNESDAY... As of 8:00 PM PDT Tue Sep 13 the center of ORLENE was located near 20.4, -118.6 with movement N at 1 mph. The minimum central pressure was 980 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.

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