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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-07-20 07:43:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 200543 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Jul 19 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A small low pressure system is located a more than 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although the low is beginning to move over cooler waters, the associated thunderstorm activity has continued to increase over the past few hours, and this system could become a short-lived tropical depression later tonight or on Monday while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A low pressure system producing an area of thunderstorms more than 800 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days while it moves west-southwestward and then westward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-07-20 01:48:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 192348 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Jul 19 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system is located a little more than 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although the low is beginning to move over cooler waters, the associated thunderstorm activity has increased over the past few hours, and this system could become a short-lived tropical depression later tonight or on Monday while it moves west-northwestward at 10-15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of showers and thunderstorms located about 800 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is showing some signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression could form around the middle of the week while it moves west-southwestward and then westward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-07-19 19:36:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 191736 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Jul 19 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system located a little more than 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The low is beginning to move over cooler waters, so the system only has a small window of opportunity to become a tropical depression over the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward to westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression could form around the middle of the week while it moves west-southwestward and then westward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-07-19 13:36:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 191136 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Jul 19 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system is located about 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although the low's circulation has become better defined, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is somewhat limited. However, environmental conditions remain conducive for this system to become a tropical depression before it reaches cooler waters in a day or two while moving west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system through the week while it moves west-southwestward and then westward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-07-19 07:30:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 190530 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Jul 18 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave accompanied by a surface low pressure system is located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Shower and thunderstorm activity has become better organized over the past several hours, and environmental conditions are conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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