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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-19 19:31:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 191731 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Oct 19 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Octave, located over the southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located near the west-central coast of Mexico is associated with a weak low pressure area embedded within an elongated surface trough. Some development of this system is possible before it moves inland over west-central Mexico and dissipates by late Sunday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with this disturbance could produce flash flooding and mudslides across portions of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, especially in areas of mountainous terrain, during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have increased near a small low pressure system located over the far southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin. However, any further development is expected to be slow to occur while the system drifts slowly westward at about 5 mph. This system is expected to move into the central Pacific basin by late Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
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eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-19 13:37:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 191137 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Oct 19 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Depression Octave, located over the southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located near the west-central coast of Mexico is associated with a weak low pressure area embedded within an elongated surface trough. Some development of this system is possible before it moves inland over west-central Mexico and dissipates by late Sunday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with this disturbance could produce flash flooding and mudslides across portions of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, especially in areas of mountainous terrain, during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A small low pressure system located over the far southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, will be slow to occur while the system drifts slowly westward at about 5 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-19 07:07:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
499 ABPZ20 KNHC 190507 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Oct 18 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Octave, located over the southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is located near the west-central coast of Mexico. A weak low pressure system is expected to develop near the coast by Saturday night and some slight development is possible before the system moves inland and dissipates by late Sunday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with this disturbance could produce flash flooding and mudslides across portions of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, especially in areas of mountainous terrain, during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A small low pressure system located over the far southwestern portion of the East Pacific basin is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, will be slow to occur while the system drifts westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-19 01:38:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 182338 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Oct 18 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Octave, located over the southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin. An elongated area of disturbed weather is located near the west-central coast of Mexico. A weak low pressure system is expected to develop near the coast on Saturday and some slight development is possible before the system moves inland and dissipates by late Sunday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with this disturbance could produce flash flooding and mudslides across portions of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, especially in areas of mountainous terrain, during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A small low pressure system has developed over the far southwestern portion of the East Pacific basin. Although the low is currently producing no organized shower or thunderstorm activity, environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development over the weekend, and some slow development is possible while the system drifts westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-18 19:35:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 181735 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 18 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Octave, located over the southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located off the west-central coast of Mexico are associated with a surface trough of low pressure. A weak low pressure system is expected to form along this trough tonight or Saturday, but significant development of the low is not expected before it moves inland over west-central Mexico by late Sunday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce flash flooding and mudslides across portions of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, especially in areas of mountainous terrain, during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Octave are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Octave are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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