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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-16 07:27:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 160526 CCA TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Aug 15 2019 Corrected order of paragraphs for graphical product. For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of disturbed weather has formed about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is showing some signs of organization, the system does not appear to have a well-defined surface center. Slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward across the tropical eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located about 1700 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing intermittent showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are not conducive for development and tropical cyclone formation is not anticipated. The low is forecast to move generally westward at 10 to 15 mph for the new couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...near 0 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico in a day or two. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the low thereafter and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward. Regardless of development, moisture associated with the system is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-16 01:39:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 152339 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Aug 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a small area of disorganized showers. Environmental conditions do not appear conducive for significant development of this system while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico over the weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the low while it moves slowly westward early next week. Regardless of development, moisture associated with this system is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Central America through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky/Hagen
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-15 19:25:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151725 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Aug 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a small area of showers and a few thunderstorms. Environmental conditions do not appear conducive for significant development of this system while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico over the weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the low while it moves slowly westward early next week. Regardless of development, moisture associated with this system is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Central America through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-15 13:31:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151130 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Aug 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing limited shower activity. Environmental conditions do not appear conducive for significant development of this system while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico over the weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the low while it moves slowly westward early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-15 07:00:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 150500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Aug 14 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure is producing limited shower activity. Only slight development of this disturbance, if any, is expected during the next couple of days while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for further development by the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south or southeast of the southeastern coast of Mexico over the weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development thereafter while the system moves generally westward through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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