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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-07-18 19:22:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
534 ABPZ20 KNHC 181722 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Jul 18 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for gradual development during the weekend, and a tropical depression could form early next week. This disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A broad area of low pressure located about 1350 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some additional development during the next two to three days while the disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. After that time, conditions are expected to become less favorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
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pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-07-18 13:31:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 181131 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Jul 18 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form early next week. This disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area of low pressure centered about 1350 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Upper-level winds appear to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression could form during the next two or three days while the disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. After that time, conditions are expected to become less favorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto/Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-07-18 07:22:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 180522 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Jul 17 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week. This disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms continue in association with a low pressure area centered about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Upper-level winds appear to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression could form during the next two or three days while the disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. After that time, cool water temperatures are forecast to prevent development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-07-18 01:39:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 172339 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Jul 17 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for gradual development late this week, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week. This disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A small low pressure area has formed within a larger area of disturbed weather centered about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Upper-level winds appear to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression could form during the next two or three days while the disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. After that time, cool water temperatures are expected to prevent development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-07-17 19:24:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171724 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Jul 17 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing a few disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive for gradual development late this week, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week. This disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms located a little more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with a tropical wave. Upper-level winds appear to be somewhat conducive for gradual development during the next few days while the disturbance moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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