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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-12 19:50:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

927 ABPZ20 KNHC 121750 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Sep 12 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in association with a trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles west of southwestern Mexico. Although upper-level winds are only marginally conducive, some development of this system is possible over the next few days while the disturbance moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the southwestern coast of Mexico by the weekend. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear conducive for some development, and a tropical depression could form while the system moves generally westward to west-northwestward south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-12 13:27:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

796 ABPZ20 KNHC 121127 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Sep 12 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Paul, located more than 1000 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending several hundred miles west of the west-central coast of Mexico. Any significant organization of this system is likely to be slow to occur while the system drifts southwestward over the next couple of days before upper-level winds become unfavorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a few days. Some gradual development is possible after that time while the system moves generally westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && For additional information on Post-Tropical Cyclone Paul, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-12 07:02:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

892 ABPZ20 KNHC 120502 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Sep 11 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Paul, located a little more than 1000 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending several hundred miles west of the west-central coast of Mexico. Strong upper-level winds appear to be preventing the system from becoming better organized, and development, if any, is likely to be slow to occur while the system drifts southwestward over the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a few days. Some gradual development is possible after that time while the system moves generally westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-12 01:07:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

609 ABPZ20 KNHC 112307 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Sep 11 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Paul, located about 1000 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending several hundred miles off the west-central coast of Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the system does not have a surface circulation, and development is not likely while it moves little during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a few days. Some gradual development is possible after that time while the system moves generally westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-11 19:26:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

660 ABPZ20 KNHC 111726 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 11 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Paul, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a few days. Some gradual development is possible after that time while the system moves generally westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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