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Tropical Storm Josephine Public Advisory Number 13

2020-08-14 22:35:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST Fri Aug 14 2020 000 WTNT31 KNHC 142035 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020 500 PM AST Fri Aug 14 2020 ...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS CENTER OF JOSEPHINE A LITTLE FARTHER TO THE NORTH... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.8N 56.1W ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 56.1 West. Josephine is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days followed by a turn toward the northwest late this weekend or early next week. On the forecast track, the center of Josephine is expected to pass to the northeast of the Leeward Islands over the weekend. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight strengthening is possible tonight. After that, Josephine is expected to weaken over the weekend as it encounters unfavorable upper-level winds. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) mainly to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Josephine is expected to cause storm-total rainfall of 1 to 3 inches over portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Isolated minor flooding is possible in Puerto Rico through Monday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Tropical Storm Josephine Public Advisory Number 12

2020-08-14 16:41:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Fri Aug 14 2020 000 WTNT31 KNHC 141441 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020 1100 AM AST Fri Aug 14 2020 ...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE JOSEPHINE THIS AFTERNOON... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.1N 54.7W ABOUT 575 MI...920 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine was located near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 54.7 West. Josephine is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days followed by a turn toward the northwest late this weekend or early next week. On the forecast track, the center of Josephine is expected to pass to the northeast of the Leeward Islands over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours. After that time, Josephine is expected to encounter upper-level winds that will not be conducive for strengthening. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate Josephine this afternoon. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) mainly to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Josephine is expected to cause storm-total rainfalls of 1 to 3 inches over portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Tropical Storm Josephine Forecast Advisory Number 12

2020-08-14 16:41:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI AUG 14 2020 000 WTNT21 KNHC 141441 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112020 1500 UTC FRI AUG 14 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 54.7W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 54.7W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 54.1W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.1N 56.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.4N 59.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.7N 61.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 20.9N 64.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.5N 66.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 24.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 27.0N 67.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 30.6N 65.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 54.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Tropical Depression Ten-E Forecast Advisory Number 6

2020-08-14 16:32:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI AUG 14 2020 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 141432 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102020 1500 UTC FRI AUG 14 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 131.9W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 131.9W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 131.8W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.4N 132.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 13.2N 132.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 13.3N 133.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.6N 133.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.1N 134.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.5N 134.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 14.8N 135.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 14.8N 136.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 131.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Tropical Depression Ten-E Public Advisory Number 6

2020-08-14 16:32:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 AM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020 712 WTPZ35 KNHC 141432 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten-E Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102020 800 AM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020 ...DEPRESSION PERSISTS FOR NOW... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.6N 131.9W ABOUT 1575 MI...2535 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten-E was located near latitude 13.6 North, longitude 131.9 West. The depression is moving toward the west-southwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A slow drift toward the west-southwest is expected today, followed by a turn toward the northwest over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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