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Tropical Storm LISA Graphics
2016-09-22 16:34:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 22 Sep 2016 14:34:18 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 22 Sep 2016 14:32:34 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm LISA (AT3/AL132016)
2016-09-22 16:34:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LISA MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC... As of 11:00 AM AST Thu Sep 22 the center of LISA was located near 20.0, -34.0 with movement NW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm LISA Public Advisory Number 12
2016-09-22 16:34:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST THU SEP 22 2016 000 WTNT33 KNHC 221433 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LISA ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016 1100 AM AST THU SEP 22 2016 ...LISA MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 34.0W ABOUT 710 MI...1145 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lisa was located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 34.0 West. Lisa is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next day or two, and Lisa is expected to weaken to a tropical depression on Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km), mainly to the north and east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brennan
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lisa
Tropical Storm LISA Forecast Advisory Number 12
2016-09-22 16:32:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 22 2016 000 WTNT23 KNHC 221432 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016 1500 UTC THU SEP 22 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 34.0W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 120SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 34.0W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 33.8W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.1N 35.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 22.5N 36.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...140NE 20SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 23.8N 37.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...110NE 40SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 25.0N 39.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 28.0N 41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 32.0N 39.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 35.5N 37.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 34.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Tropical Storm LISA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2016-09-22 16:32:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 22 2016 000 FONT13 KNHC 221432 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM LISA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016 1500 UTC THU SEP 22 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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