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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-19 07:48:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 190548 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Oct 19 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms have increased in organization in association with a large non-tropical low pressure system located about 700 miles southeast of Bermuda. Although environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for development during the next day or so, a subtropical or tropical depression could still develop later today or on Tuesday. However, upper-level winds are forecast to become more favorable for tropical cyclone formation by late Tuesday and Wednesday while the low meanders well to the southeast of Bermuda. See NOAA High Seas Forecast products for more details on this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure could form in a couple of days over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some gradual development of this system is possible late this week while it moves slowly northwestward or north-northwestward over the western Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the NOAA National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
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tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-19 01:39:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 182339 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Oct 18 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a large non-tropical low pressure system located about 700 miles southeast of Bermuda remain poorly organized and displaced mainly to the east of the low-level center. Environmental conditions are forecast to be only marginally conducive for development during the next day or two. Although a subtropical or tropical depression could still develop during that time, upper-level winds are expected to become more favorable for tropical cyclone formation to occur by late Tuesday and Wednesday while the low meanders well to the southeast of Bermuda. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure could form in a couple of days over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some gradual development of this system is possible late this week while it moves slowly northwestward or north-northwestward over the western Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-18 19:38:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 181738 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Oct 18 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorm activity associated with a non-tropical low pressure system located about 600 miles southeast of Bermuda is poorly organized and displaced well east of the low-level center. Environmental conditions remain conducive for development, and a subtropical depression or storm is very likely to form during the next day or so while the low meanders well to the southeast of Bermuda. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure is likely to form in a couple of days over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some gradual development of this system is possible late this week as it moves slowly northwestward or north-northwestward over the western Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-18 13:38:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 181138 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Oct 18 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a non-tropical low pressure system located about 550 miles east-southeast of Bermuda have been gradually increasing in both coverage and organization during the past 24 hours. Further development is expected, and a subtropical depression or storm is very likely to form during the next day or so while the low meanders well to the southeast of Bermuda. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in a couple of days over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some gradual development of this system will be possible through the middle of the week as it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward over the western Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-18 07:01:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 180501 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Oct 18 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a non-tropical low pressure system located about 500 miles east-southeast of Bermuda have not become significantly better organized over the past several hours. Gradual development is expected, and a subtropical depression or storm is very likely to form during the next day or two while the low meanders well to the southeast of Bermuda. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some gradual development of this system will be possible through the middle of next week while it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward over the western Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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