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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-13 01:38:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 122338 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Paulette and Tropical Depression Rene, both located over the central Atlantic Ocean, on Tropical Storm Sally, centered over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Twenty, located over the eastern Tropical Atlantic. A surface trough over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is producing limited shower activity. While some slow development of this system is possible, strong upper-level winds related to Tropical Storm Sally will probably limit the chances of tropical cyclone formation. The disturbance is forecast to move westward and then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf of Mexico through the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Showers and thunderstorms located near and west of the Cabo Verde Islands are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions support some additional development, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic during the next two or three days while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. By mid-week, upper-level winds should become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-12 19:49:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 121748 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Paulette and Tropical Depression Rene, both located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Sally, located near southern Florida. A surface trough over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible while it moves westward and then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf of Mexico through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Satellite imagery and satellite-derived wind data indicate that the area of low pressure located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become better defined. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity is also becoming better organized. If this development trend continues, then a tropical depression will likely form later today or tonight. The system is expected to move westward then northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic over the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms located near the Cabo Verde Islands are associated with a broad area of low pressure that has developed along a tropical wave. Environmental conditions support some additional development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic early next week while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. By mid-week, upper-level winds could become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && Public Advisories on Sally are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Sally are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-12 13:45:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 121145 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Paulette and Tropical Storm Rene, both located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen, located near southern Florida. A surface trough over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible while it moves westward and then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf of Mexico through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is forecast, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another area of disturbed weather, associated with a tropical wave, is located near the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions support some development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic early next week while the system moves slowly westward. By mid-week, upper-level winds could become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-12 07:51:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 120551 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Paulette and Tropical Storm Rene, both located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen, located near southern Florida. A surface trough over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible while it moves westward and then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf of Mexico through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is forecast, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another area of disturbed weather, associated with a tropical wave, is located between the west coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions could support development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic early next week while the system moves slowly westward. After that, Upper-level winds could become less conducive for development by Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-12 01:24:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 112324 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Sep 11 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Paulette and Tropical Storm Rene, both located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Nineteen, located near southern Florida. A surface trough over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible while it moves westward and then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf of Mexico through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is forecast, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another area of disturbed weather, associated with a tropical wave, is located just off of the west coast of Africa. Environmental conditions could support development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic early next week while the system moves slowly westward. Upper-level winds could become less conducive for development by Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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