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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-19 01:42:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 182342 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Aug 18 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms, along with strong gusty winds on the north side of the disturbance. Significant development of this system is unlikely during the next day or so while it moves quickly westward at about 20 mph across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea. After that time, however, the wave is forecast to move more slowly west-northwestward, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend when the system reaches the northwestern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms on the west side of the disturbance. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or two while the system moves generally west- northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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atlantic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-18 19:43:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
781 ABNT20 KNHC 181743 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 200 PM EDT Tue Aug 18 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean Sea continues to produce an area of disorganized thunderstorms and gusty winds. This wave is moving quickly westward at about 20 mph and significant development is unlikely while it moves across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea during the next day or two. After that time, however, the wave is forecast to slow down, and a tropical depression will likely form late this week or this weekend when it reaches the northwestern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of low pressure located about 1300 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progres of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-18 13:38:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 181138 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Aug 18 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing an area of disorganized thunderstorms and gusty winds. Significant development of this system is unlikely during the next couple of days while it moves quickly westward at about 20 mph across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea. After that time, however, the wave is forecast to move more slowly westward, and a tropical depression could form late this week or this weekend when it reaches the northwestern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-18 07:11:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 180511 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Aug 18 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea. This disturbance is moving westward at about 20 mph, and is forecast to continue to move quickly westward over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days, which is likely to limit significant development. After that time, however, the system is forecast to move more slowly westward across the western Caribbean, where upper-level winds could become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the latter part of this week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected over portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands this morning. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a little over 700 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms displaced to the west of an elongated surface circulation. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or two while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-18 01:53:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 172353 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave near the Windward Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This disturbance is moving westward at about 20 mph, and is expected to continue to move quickly westward over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days, which is likely to limit significant development. After that time, however, the system is forecast to move more slowly westward across the western Caribbean, where upper-level winds could become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the latter part of this week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected over portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands through Tuesday morning. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Satellite images indicate that a broad area of low pressure located about 700 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become better organized since yesterday, with increasing banding features near the center. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within a couple days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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