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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-01 01:49:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
127 ABNT20 KNHC 312349 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 750 PM EDT Sun May 31 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential for tropical cyclone formation over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. The remnants of Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Amanda are currently located over northern Guatemala. This system is forecast to move northwestward to northward within a broader area of disturbed weather, and it could emerge over the southeastern Bay of Campeche on Monday. If the remnants move back over water, environmental conditions appear conducive to support some development, and a new tropical depression could form while the system moves little through the middle of this week. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, heavy rainfall is likely to continue over portions of southern Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Belize, and western Honduras during the next few days. For additional information on the rainfall threat, see products from your national meteorological service. The next update on this system will be in the first regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane season, which will be issued by 2 AM EDT Monday morning. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
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atlantic
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tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-05-31 19:55:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 311755 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 155 PM EDT Sun May 31 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential for tropical cyclone formation over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Eastern Pacific Tropical Depression Amanda, centered inland over eastern Guatemala, is forecast weaken into a remnant low or dissipate by tonight. However, the remnants of Amanda are expected to move northwestward within a broader area of disturbed weather, and could emerge over the southeastern Bay of Campeche on Monday. If the remnants move back over water, environmental conditions appear conducive to support some development, and a new tropical depression could form while the system moves little through the middle of this week. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, heavy rainfall is likely to continue over portions of southern Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Belize, and western Honduras during the next few days. For additional information on the rainfall threat, see products from your national meteorological service. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be by 9 PM EDT tonight, or earlier if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown/Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-05-31 14:05:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
148 ABNT20 KNHC 311205 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 805 AM EDT Sun May 31 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential for tropical cyclone formation over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Amanda, centered inland over southeastern Guatemala, is forecast weaken into a remnant low or dissipate over Guatemala or southeastern Mexico by tonight. However, the remnants of Amanda are expected to move northwestward within a broader area of disturbed weather, possibly emerging over the southeastern Bay of Campeche on Monday. If the remnants move back over water, environmental conditions appear conducive to support some redevelopment of the system while it moves little through the middle of this week. Regardless of redevelopment, heavy rainfall is likely to continue over portions of southern Mexico during the next few days. For additional information on the rainfall threat, see products from your national meteorological service. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be by 3 PM EDT today, or earlier if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown/Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-05-31 08:00:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
767 ABNT20 KNHC 310559 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun May 31 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the area of low pressure over the central Atlantic and the potential for tropical cyclone formation over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. An area of low pressure located about 350 miles east of Bermuda is producing limited shower activity. The low is forecast to move northeastward at 5 to 10 mph later today, and development is not expected due to unfavorable environmental conditions. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. Tropical Depression Two-E, located near the Pacific coasts of Guatemala and El Salvador, is forecast to move inland and dissipate over Guatemala or southeastern Mexico by tonight. However, the remnants are expected to turn northwestward within a broader developing area of disturbed weather, possibly emerging over the Bay of Campeche on Monday. If the remnants do move back over water, environmental conditions appear conducive to support some redevelopment of the system while it moves little during much of the upcoming week. Regardless of redevelopment, heavy rainfall is likely over portions of southern Mexico during the next few days. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued later this morning by 9 AM EDT. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-05-31 02:01:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 310001 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat May 30 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the area of low pressure over the central Atlantic and the potential for tropical cyclone formation over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico next week. An area of low pressure located about 350 miles east of Bermuda is producing limited shower activity. Environmental conditions are expected to become less favorable for development on Sunday as the system moves generally northward, and development of this system has become less likely. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued by 9 AM EDT Sunday, or earlier if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A broad area of disturbed weather is expected to stretch across portions of southern Mexico and the southwestern Gulf of Mexico for the next several days. An area of low pressure could form in this region by the middle of next week, and some gradual development is possible thereafter if the system remains over water. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is likely over portions of southern Mexico during the next few days. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued by 9 AM EDT Sunday, or earlier if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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