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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-05-25 13:31:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 251131 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 730 AM EDT Fri May 25 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the low pressure system located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea just east of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico has become better defined overnight, and thunderstorm activity has also increased and become better organized. Environmental conditions are forecast to steadily become more conducive for development, and a subtropical or tropical depression or storm is likely to form by Saturday over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon. Locally heavy rainfall is forecast across western Cuba and over much of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week. This system could also bring tropical-storm-force winds and storm surge to portions of the northern Gulf Coast by late this weekend or early next week. In addition, the threat of rip currents will steadily increase along the Gulf Coast from Florida westward to Louisiana over the Memorial Day weekend. For more information on these threats, please see products issued by your local weather office, and see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service for information on gale warnings associated with this system. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 200 PM EDT today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and the Web at http://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-05-25 07:03:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 250503 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 105 AM EDT Fri May 25 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad surface low centered near the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico is producing widespread, but disorganized, shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a subtropical or tropical depression or storm is likely to form during the weekend over the eastern or central Gulf of Mexico. Please see high seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service for information on gale warnings associated with this system. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Locally heavy rainfall is forecast across western Cuba and over much of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week. In addition, the threat of rip currents will steadily increase along the Gulf coast from Florida westward to Louisiana over the Memorial Day weekend. For more information on these threats, please see products issued by your local weather office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 800 AM EDT today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-05-25 01:23:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 242323 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 725 PM EDT Thu May 24 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad surface low drifting slowly northward over the eastern Yucatan Peninsula has become better defined since yesterday, although the associated associated shower and thunderstorm activity is poorly organized due to strong upper-level winds. However, environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a subtropical or tropical depression or storm is likely to form during the weekend over the eastern or central Gulf of Mexico. Please see high seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service for information on gale warnings associated with this system. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance Friday afternoon, if necessary. Locally heavy rainfall is forecast across western Cuba and over much of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week. In addition, the threat of rip currents will steadily increase along the Gulf coast from Florida westward to Louisiana over the Memorial Day weekend. For more information on these threats, please see products issued by your local weather office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 200 AM EDT Friday morning. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-05-24 19:27:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 241726 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 130 PM EDT Thu May 24 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad surface low drifting slowly northward over the eastern Yucatan Peninsula continues to become better defined. Although showers and thunderstorms, along with strong gusty winds, remain primarily over the adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea, environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development through early next week, and a subtropical or tropical depression is likely to form by late Saturday over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance Friday afternoon, if necessary. Locally heavy rainfall is forecast across western Cuba and over much of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week. In addition, the threat of rip currents will steadily increase along the Gulf coast from Florida westward to Louisiana over the Memorial Day weekend. For more information on these threats, please see products issued by your local weather office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 800 PM EDT this evening. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-05-24 13:40:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 241140 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 740 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad, stationary surface low pressure system centered over the southeastern Yucatan Peninsula is gradually becoming better defined. Although showers and thunderstorms, along with strong gusty winds, are confined primarily to the adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea, gradual development of this system is expected during the next couple of days as it drifts northward near the Yucatan Peninsula. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development through early next week, and a subtropical or tropical depression is likely to form by late Saturday over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is forecast across western Cuba and over much of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week. In addition, the threat of rip currents will steadily increase along the Gulf coast from Florida westward to Louisiana over Memorial Day weekend. For more information on these threats, please see products issued by your local weather office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 200 PM EDT this afternoon. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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