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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-10-16 13:27:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 161127 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 175 miles north-northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands have increased overnight. Although the system is producing wind gusts to near tropical-storm force, satellite imagery suggests that it lacks a well-defined center. Upper-level winds are forecast to remain marginally conducive for some additional development during the next day or so while the system moves generally northward. Conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development by Wednesday when the disturbance merges with a frontal system over the western Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-10-16 07:43:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 160543 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Hurricane Ophelia, located over the far northeastern Atlantic Ocean a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of Ireland. A low pressure system located about 100 miles east-northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands is gradually becoming better defined. Associated thunderstorm activity has increased and become a little better organized this morning, and gale-force winds have been occurring in squalls northeast of the center. Some development of this low will be possible during the next day or so while it moves generally northward over the western Atlantic. However, upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation by late Tuesday, and the system is likely to merge with a front and become extratropical on Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-10-16 01:18:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 152318 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Ophelia, located over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles south-southwest of Ireland. A large area of showers and thunderstorms located over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean between Puerto Rico and Bermuda is associated with a broad area of low pressure, which is centered about 150 miles east-northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands. Any development of this low while it moves generally northward over the western Atlantic during the next day or so is expected to be slow to occur due to strong upper-level winds, and the system is likely to merge with a front and become extratropical in a couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-10-15 19:33:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 151733 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Ophelia, located over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean more than 600 miles east-northeast of the Azores. A broad area of low pressure is moving toward the west-northwest and is now located about 150 miles north of Hispaniola. The low is producing numerous showers and a few squalls mainly to the east of the center. Since upper-level winds are not particularly favorable for tropical cyclone formation, further development of this system, if any, will be slow to occur. The low and its associated activity is forecast to move toward the northwest and north during the next two to three days. After that time, this system is expected to merge with a cold front. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-10-15 13:28:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 151128 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Ophelia, located over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean more than 500 miles east of the easternmost Azores. The broad area of low pressure NHC has been tracking for a few days is now centered a little more than 100 miles north of Puerto Rico. The low is producing numerous showers and a few squalls mainly to the east of the center. Further development of this system, if any, will likely ocurr while the low and its associated activity move toward the northwest and north during the next two to three days. After that time, this system is expected to merge with a cold front. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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