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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-13 20:11:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

731 ABNT20 KNHC 131728 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Oct 13 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite-derived wind data and surface observations indicate that a broad low pressure system has formed about 200 miles northeast of the Turks and Caicos. This system is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms mainly over the open Atlantic to the north and east of the low. Further development, if any, of this disturbance should be slow to occur during the next couple of days due to unfavorable upper-level winds. The system is forecast to move slowly northeastward through tonight, then accelerate eastward on Thursday. Toward the end of the week, further development is not anticipated since the disturbance will be interacting with a frontal system. The threat of locally heavy rainfall across portions of Hispaniola and the Turks and Caicos will diminish by tonight. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-13 13:18:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 131118 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Oct 13 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, the southeastern Bahamas, and adjacent Atlantic waters continue in association with a surface trough of low pressure. Development, if any, of this disturbance should be slow to occur during the next couple of days due to unfavorable upper-level winds. The system is forecast to drift northward through tonight, then accelerate eastward as a broad area of low pressure on Thursday. Toward the end of the week, further development is not anticipated since the disturbance will be interacting with a frontal system. Regardless, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas during the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-13 07:05:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 130505 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Wed Oct 13 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas continue in association with a surface trough of low pressure. Development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur during the next couple of days due to inhibiting environmental conditions. The disturbance is forecast to drift northward through tonight, then accelerate eastward as a broad area of low pressure on Thursday. Toward the end of the week, further development is not anticipated as the system is interacts with a frontal system. Regardless, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas during the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-13 01:16:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 122316 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Oct 12 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A surface trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas. Development of this system, if any, would be slow to occur during the next couple of days due to unfavorable environmental conditions while the disturbance initially drifts northward, then accelerates eastward by Thursday. By the end of the week, further development is unlikely as the disturbance is expected to interact with a frontal system. Regardless, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas during the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-12 19:23:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 121723 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 12 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms affecting Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas are associated with a surface trough of low pressure. Development of this system, if any, should be slow to occur during the next couple of days due to unfavorable environmental conditions while the disturbance initially drifts northward and then accelerates eastward on Thursday. The disturbance is expected to interact with a frontal system by the end of the week, and further development is unlikely after that time. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas during the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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