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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-06-19 19:38:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 191738 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN JUN 19 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite images indicate that the low pressure area located over the Bay of Campeche about 175 miles east of Tuxpan, Mexico has become a little better defined today. The associated showers and thunderstorms are currently not well organized. However, an increase in the organization of this activity could lead to the formation of a tropical cyclone at any time before the low moves inland over eastern Mexico on Monday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently enroute to investigate the low pressure area. Regardless of whether or not a tropical cyclone develops, areas of heavy rain are expected over portions of eastern Mexico tonight through Tuesday. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of high terrain. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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atlantic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-06-19 13:34:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 191133 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SUN JUN 19 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A low pressure system located over the central Bay of Campeche about 200 miles east of Tuxpan, Mexico is producing an area of showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. The low is moving westward to west-northwestward at around 10 mph and is forecast to reach the coast of eastern Mexico on Monday. Although upper-level winds are only marginally conducive, a tropical depression is still likely to form later today or on Monday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon, if necessary. Regardless of whether or not a tropical cyclone develops, areas of heavy rain are expected over portions of eastern Mexico tonight through Tuesday. These rains could could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of high terrain. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-06-19 07:56:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 190556 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SUN JUN 19 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large low pressure system, centered over the central Bay of Campeche about 300 miles east-southeast of Tuxpan, Mexico, is producing widespread cloudiness and disorganized showers and thunderstorms over much of the Bay of Campeche, southern Gulf of Mexico, and the Yucatan peninsula. The low is moving westward to west-northwestward at around 10 mph and is forecast to reach the coast of eastern Mexico on Monday. Although upper-level winds are only marginally conducive, a tropical depression is still expected to form during the next day or so. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon, if necessary. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-06-19 01:16:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 182316 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SAT JUN 18 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large low pressure system located over the eastern Bay of Campeche about 60 miles north-northeast of Ciudad del Carmen, Mexico, is producing widespread cloudiness and disorganized showers and thunderstorms over much of the Yucatan peninsula and adjacent waters of the Bay of Campeche, southern Gulf of Mexico, and northwestern Caribbean Sea. The low has been nearly stationary during the past several hours, but it is forecast to move west-northwestward to westward at around 10 mph across the Bay of Campeche the next couple of days before moving inland over eastern Mexico. Satellite-derived winds and surface observations indicate that the low has developed a well-defined center of circulation. Although upper-level winds are only marginally conducive, gradual development of this system is expected and a tropical depression could form during the next day or so. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low Sunday afternoon, if necessary. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-06-18 19:32:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 181732 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SAT JUN 18 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure has developed offshore of the west coast of the Yucatan Peninsula today, but the associated shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. Some gradual development of this system is expected during the next couple of days in an environment of marginal upper-level winds, and a tropical depression could form while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at around 10 mph before moving inland over eastern Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system Sunday afternoon, if necessary. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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