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Hurricane MATTHEW Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20

2016-10-03 04:51:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON OCT 03 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 030251 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0300 UTC MON OCT 03 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 9(20) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 9(25) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 8(24) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) 8(29) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) 6(29) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 15(23) 5(28) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) 5(27) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 3(16) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 3(14) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 25(39) 8(47) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 5(22) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 37(39) 18(57) 4(61) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 14(28) 4(32) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) 1(17) ANDROS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 36(42) 12(54) 3(57) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 9(26) 2(28) ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 7(15) 1(16) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 50(72) 8(80) 1(81) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 38(43) 7(50) 1(51) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 5(29) 1(30) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 51(68) 8(76) 1(77) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 34(37) 8(45) 1(46) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 4(25) 1(26) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 33(41) 21(62) 2(64) 1(65) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) 2(25) X(25) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 1(12) X(12) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 9(24) 1(25) X(25) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) 1(12) CAMAGUEY 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 12(16) 14(30) 3(33) 1(34) CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) CAMAGUEY 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 1 11(12) 55(67) 21(88) 4(92) X(92) X(92) GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X 1( 1) 29(30) 30(60) 7(67) X(67) X(67) GUANTANAMO BAY 64 X X( X) 15(15) 25(40) 5(45) X(45) X(45) MONTEGO BAY 34 1 3( 4) 6(10) 5(15) 2(17) 1(18) X(18) MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) KINGSTON 34 2 26(28) 13(41) 3(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) KINGSTON 50 X 4( 4) 6(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) KINGSTON 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LES CAYES 34 7 65(72) 17(89) 2(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) LES CAYES 50 X 9( 9) 35(44) 4(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) LES CAYES 64 X 2( 2) 17(19) 4(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 2 12(14) 23(37) 5(42) 3(45) 1(46) X(46) PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PORT-AU-PRINCE 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE BEATA 34 1 5( 6) 5(11) 3(14) 1(15) 1(16) X(16) PUERTO PLATA 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Hurricane MATTHEW Graphics

2016-10-03 01:49:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 02 Oct 2016 23:49:02 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 02 Oct 2016 21:04:36 GMT

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Summary for Hurricane MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)

2016-10-03 01:47:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND MATTHEW IS STILL A POWERFUL CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE... As of 8:00 PM EDT Sun Oct 2 the center of MATTHEW was located near 14.5, -75.0 with movement NW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 945 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 145 mph.

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Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory Number 19A

2016-10-03 01:47:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 PM EDT SUN OCT 02 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 022346 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 800 PM EDT SUN OCT 02 2016 ...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND MATTHEW IS STILL A POWERFUL CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.5N 75.0W ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM SSW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Jamaica * Haiti * Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Santiago de Cuba, Holguin, Granma, and Las Tunas A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cuban province of Camaguey * Southeastern Bahamas, including the Inaguas, Mayaguana, Acklins, Crooked Island, Long Cay, and Ragged Island * Turks and Caicos Islands A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the border with Haiti A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Dominican Republic from Puerto Plata westward to the border with Haiti Interests elsewhere in Hispaniola and in the Bahamas should monitor the progress of Matthew. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm- force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 75.0 West. Matthew is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn toward the north-northwest is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the north on Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will approach Jamaica and southwestern Haiti on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher gusts. Matthew is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next couple of days, but Matthew is expected to remain a powerful hurricane into Tuesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). NOAA data buoy 42058, in the central Caribbean Sea, recently reported a wind gust to 62 mph (100 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure recently measured by the reconnaissance aircraft was 945 mb (27.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach Jamaica and Haiti on Monday, and eastern Cuba Monday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach Jamaica and Haiti tonight, and eastern Cuba early Monday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. Tropical storm conditions are expected along the southern coast of the Dominican Republic within the warning area by tonight. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch areas by late Tuesday with tropical storm conditions possible by early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are also possible in the tropical storm watch area in the Dominican Republic by late Monday. RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 15 to 25 inches in southern Haiti and the southwestern portion of the Dominican Republic, with possible isolated amounts of 40 inches. Across eastern Cuba and western Haiti, total rain accumulations of 8 to 12 inches are expected, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches. Across eastern Jamaica, total rainfall of 5 to 10 inches is expected, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. This rainfall will likely produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Matthew is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8 to 12 inches over the southeastern Bahamas, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches. Matthew is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 5 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches over the Turks and Caicos Islands. Lower amounts are expected across the northeastern section of Haiti and the Dominican Republic, with amounts ranging from 1 to 3 inches with isolated amounts around 5 inches. Rain amounts of 1 to 2 inches are expected over western Jamaica. Additional rainfall of 1 to 2 inches is expected over northern Colombia through tonight. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much as the following amounts above normal tide levels... Southern Coast of Cuba east of Cabo Cruz...7 to 11 feet South Coast of Haiti...7 to 10 feet Northern Coast of Cuba east of Camaguey...4 to 6 feet Jamaica...3 to 5 feet Gulf of Gonave in Haiti...3 to 5 feet Southern coast of the Dominican Republic...1 to 3 feet Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur well in advance of and well away from the track of the center. SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions of the coasts of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica, Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao, Venezuela, Colombia, eastern Cuba, and the Caribbean coastline of Central America during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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