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Tropical Depression Peter Public Advisory Number 14

2021-09-22 04:43:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 721 WTNT31 KNHC 220243 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Peter Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162021 1100 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 ...DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE WITH STRONG SHEAR... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.8N 65.3W ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM NNE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Peter was located near latitude 20.8 North, longitude 65.3 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn to the north is expected by late tomorrow, followed by a north-northeastward or northeastward motion through the end of the week. On the forecast track, the center of Peter will continue moving away from the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico through early Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Peter is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low by Thursday. Nearby NOAA buoy observations indicate the estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rainfall around the southern periphery of Peter could produce additional rainfall totals of 1 to 4 inches, with storm total accumulations up to 6 inches, across portions of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and northern portions of Hispaniola through Thursday morning. This rainfall may lead to areas of urban and small stream flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Peter are affecting the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola, and will continue spreading westward to the Bahamas on Wednesday. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart

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Tropical Depression Rose Public Advisory Number 12

2021-09-22 04:38:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 220238 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Rose Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021 1100 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 ...ROSE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 37.9W ABOUT 1020 MI...1645 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Rose was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 37.9 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion should continue through Wednesday. A turn toward the north is expected on Thursday, followed by a northeastward motion by Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little overall change in intensity is expected during the next couple of days, however Rose is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low on Friday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown

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Tropical Depression Peter Public Advisory Number 13

2021-09-21 22:46:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 000 WTNT31 KNHC 212046 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Peter Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162021 500 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 ...PETER NOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.5N 65.0W ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM NNE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Peter was located near latitude 20.5 North, longitude 65.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn to the north with a decrease in forward speed is expected beginning tomorrow. On the forecast track, the center of Peter will remain well north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico tonight and should move well east of the southeastern Bahamas during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional gradual weakening is forecast over the next several days, and Peter could degenerate into a remnant low by Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rainfall around the southern periphery of Tropical Depression Peter could produce additional rainfall totals of 1 to 4 inches, with storm total accumulations up to 6 inches, across portions of the Northern Leeward Islands, including portions of the Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico and the northern portions of Hispaniola through Thursday morning. This rainfall may lead to areas of urban and small stream flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Peter are affecting the northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico, and will continue spreading westward to Hispaniola this evening and the Bahamas on Wednesday. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin

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Tropical Storm Rose Public Advisory Number 11

2021-09-21 22:36:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 212036 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rose Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021 500 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 ...ROSE HOLDING ON AS A TROPICAL STORM.... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.5N 37.7W ABOUT 1000 MI...1605 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rose was located near latitude 22.5 North, longitude 37.7 West. Rose is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). The storm should gradually turn toward the north during the next couple of days and move more to the northeast on Friday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Rose could decay into a tropical depression this evening and degenerate into a remnant low by Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake

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