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Tropical Storm RAYMOND Forecast Discussion Number 28
2013-10-26 22:35:03| Tropical Depression LIDIA
Issued at 200 PM PDT SAT OCT 26 2013
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Tropical Storm RAYMOND 5-Day Track, Uncertainty Cone, Warnings (.shp)
2013-10-26 22:34:34| Tropical Depression LIDIA
GIS Data last updated Sat, 26 Oct 2013 20:34:34 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm RAYMOND (EP2/EP172013)
2013-10-26 22:34:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...RAYMOND CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sat Oct 26 the center of RAYMOND was located near 13.1, -113.4 with movement W at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm RAYMOND Public Advisory Number 28
2013-10-26 22:34:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT SAT OCT 26 2013 000 WTPZ32 KNHC 262034 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172013 200 PM PDT SAT OCT 26 2013 ...RAYMOND CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.1N 113.4W ABOUT 715 MI...1150 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4 WEST. THE CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H...BUT IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN TOWARD THE NORTH BY MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING ON MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Storm RAYMOND Wind Speed Probabilities Number 28
2013-10-26 22:34:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT OCT 26 2013 000 FOPZ12 KNHC 262034 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172013 2100 UTC SAT OCT 26 2013 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 1 1 1 10 33 43 TROP DEPRESSION 3 4 5 11 33 46 43 TROPICAL STORM 91 71 55 59 52 20 13 HURRICANE 6 24 39 28 5 1 X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 6 21 32 23 5 1 X HUR CAT 2 X 3 6 5 X X X HUR CAT 3 X X 2 1 X X X HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50KT 55KT 60KT 55KT 40KT 25KT 20KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 9(16) 3(19) X(19) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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