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Tropical Storm Elsa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 38
2021-07-09 16:45:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUL 09 2021 000 FONT15 KNHC 091445 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 1500 UTC FRI JUL 09 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BURGEO NFLD 34 X 22(22) 6(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) PTX BASQUES 34 X 41(41) 3(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) PTX BASQUES 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SYDNEY NS 34 X 24(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) SABLE ISLAND 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 6 32(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) YARMOUTH NS 34 59 13(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) YARMOUTH NS 50 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONCTON NB 34 X 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ST JOHN NB 34 6 24(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) EASTPORT ME 34 36 7(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) EASTPORT ME 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) BOSTON MA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 80 X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) NANTUCKET MA 34 94 X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) PROVIDENCE RI 34 35 X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) NEW LONDON CT 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTAUK POINT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tropical Storm Elsa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 37
2021-07-09 10:37:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI JUL 09 2021 613 FONT15 KNHC 090837 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 0900 UTC FRI JUL 09 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) BURGEO NFLD 34 X 2( 2) 32(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) PTX BASQUES 34 X 7( 7) 44(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) EDDY POINT NS 34 X 19(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) SYDNEY NS 34 X 20(20) 13(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) SABLE ISLAND 34 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) HALIFAX NS 34 X 37(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) YARMOUTH NS 34 1 61(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) YARMOUTH NS 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONCTON NB 34 X 26(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) ST JOHN NB 34 X 27(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) EASTPORT ME 34 1 32(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) BAR HARBOR ME 34 1 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PORTLAND ME 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CONCORD NH 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) WORCESTER MA 34 18 X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BOSTON MA 34 32 X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) HYANNIS MA 34 64 X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) HYANNIS MA 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 73 X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) NANTUCKET MA 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PROVIDENCE RI 34 49 X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW HAVEN CT 34 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) HARTFORD CT 34 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NEW LONDON CT 34 24 X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) MONTAUK POINT 34 59 X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) ISLIP NY 34 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) ATLANTIC CITY 34 15 X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) DOVER DE 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) OCEAN CITY MD 34 18 X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Tropical Storm Elsa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 36
2021-07-09 04:34:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUL 09 2021 795 FONT15 KNHC 090234 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 0300 UTC FRI JUL 09 2021 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 19(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 31(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X 11(11) 19(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 47(47) 3(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) YARMOUTH NS 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MONCTON NB 34 X 2( 2) 20(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) ST JOHN NB 34 X 11(11) 16(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) ST JOHN NB 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EASTPORT ME 34 X 26(26) 5(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) EASTPORT ME 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WORCESTER MA 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HYANNIS MA 34 1 32(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) NANTUCKET MA 34 6 46(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) NANTUCKET MA 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 4 20(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NEW HAVEN CT 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HARTFORD CT 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW LONDON CT 34 4 8(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MONTAUK POINT 34 17 16(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) MONTAUK POINT 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLIP NY 34 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEWARK NJ 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NWS EARLE NJ 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ATLANTIC CITY 34 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) DOVER DE 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 26 X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) OCEAN CITY MD 34 41 X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) PAX RIVER NAS 34 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) WALLOPS CDA 34 44 X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) RICHMOND VA 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK NAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NORFOLK VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) OCEANA NAS VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ELIZABETH CTY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tropical Storm Elsa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 35
2021-07-08 22:47:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUL 08 2021 000 FONT15 KNHC 082047 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 2100 UTC THU JUL 08 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 27(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 11(11) 32(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 22(22) 9(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 33(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 4( 4) 49(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) 22(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 29(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EASTPORT ME 34 X 1( 1) 31(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) AUGUSTA ME 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORTLAND ME 34 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CONCORD NH 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) WORCESTER MA 34 X 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BOSTON MA 34 X 21(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) BOSTON MA 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X 47(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) HYANNIS MA 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NANTUCKET MA 34 X 57(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) NANTUCKET MA 50 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 36(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 1 13(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) NEW HAVEN CT 34 1 14(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) HARTFORD CT 34 X 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) NEW LONDON CT 34 1 23(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) NEW LONDON CT 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 1 42(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) MONTAUK POINT 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ISLIP NY 34 1 16(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 2 15(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 2 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NEWARK NJ 34 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) TRENTON NJ 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NWS EARLE NJ 34 3 9(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) PHILADELPHIA 34 7 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ATLANTIC CITY 34 15 8(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) BALTIMORE MD 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DOVER DE 34 24 X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) WASHINGTON DC 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 41 3(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) OCEAN CITY MD 34 61 1(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) OCEAN CITY MD 50 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PAX RIVER NAS 34 24 X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) WALLOPS CDA 34 63 1(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) WALLOPS CDA 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) RICHMOND VA 34 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) NORFOLK NAS 34 84 X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) NORFOLK NAS 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK VA 34 91 X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) NORFOLK VA 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) OCEANA NAS VA 34 92 X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) ELIZABETH CTY 34 87 X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) ROCKY MT NC 34 81 X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) CAPE HATTERAS 34 23 X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) FAYETTEVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHERRY PT NC 34 77 X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) NEW RIVER NC 34 21 X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) MOREHEAD CITY 34 41 X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) SURF CITY NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tropical Storm Elsa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 34
2021-07-08 16:57:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUL 08 2021 000 FONT15 KNHC 081457 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 1500 UTC THU JUL 08 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 22(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 33(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 18(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 38(38) 4(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 14(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 24(24) 5(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CONCORD NH 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WORCESTER MA 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BOSTON MA 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) HYANNIS MA 34 X 3( 3) 28(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) NANTUCKET MA 34 X 12(12) 33(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) NANTUCKET MA 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 12(12) 19(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) HARTFORD CT 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NEW LONDON CT 34 X 8( 8) 9(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X 26(26) 12(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) MONTAUK POINT 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLIP NY 34 X 12(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X 22(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEWARK NJ 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) TRENTON NJ 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PHILADELPHIA 34 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ATLANTIC CITY 34 1 15(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) BALTIMORE MD 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DOVER DE 34 1 19(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 2 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) WASHINGTON DC 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 2 38(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) OCEAN CITY MD 34 5 48(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PAX RIVER NAS 34 10 18(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) WALLOPS CDA 34 12 43(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) WALLOPS CDA 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 27 4(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) DANVILLE VA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 50 9(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) NORFOLK NAS 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 50 8(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) OCEANA NAS VA 34 45 9(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) ELIZABETH CTY 34 41 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) RALEIGH NC 34 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) ROCKY MT NC 34 54 X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) CAPE HATTERAS 34 13 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) FAYETTEVILLE 34 52 X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) CHERRY PT NC 34 21 X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) NEW RIVER NC 34 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MOREHEAD CITY 34 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) SURF CITY NC 34 21 X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) WILMINGTON NC 34 24 X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) BALD HEAD ISL 34 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) FLORENCE SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LITTLE RIVER 34 30 X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) MYRTLE BEACH 34 37 X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) GEORGETOWN SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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