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Tropical Depression Cristobal Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2020-06-05 04:35:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUN 05 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 050235 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020 0300 UTC FRI JUN 05 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 1(14) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) 1(15) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 6(16) X(16) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) 3(30) X(30) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 9(19) 1(20) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 5(33) 1(34) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 12(19) 1(20) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 11(20) 1(21) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 2(15) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) 2(20) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) 1(19) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) 1(16) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 1(14) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 1(17) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) MERIDA MX 34 X 11(11) 3(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 5(15) X(15) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Depression Cristobal Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13
2020-06-04 22:40:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUN 04 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 042040 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020 2100 UTC THU JUN 04 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 4(21) 1(22) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 2(16) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 10(31) 1(32) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 3(17) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 3(18) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 3(17) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 3(18) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) 1(17) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 3(14) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 1(17) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Depression Cristobal Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2020-06-04 16:44:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUN 04 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 041444 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020 1500 UTC THU JUN 04 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 2(12) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 2(17) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 9(24) 1(25) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 3(18) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 12(28) 1(29) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 4(18) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 4(18) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 3(16) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) 1(15) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 1(14) KEESLER AB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Storm Cristobal Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2020-06-04 10:44:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUN 04 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 040844 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020 0900 UTC THU JUN 04 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 4(15) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 11(20) 2(22) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 16(27) 3(30) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 8(19) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 7(20) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 8(18) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 3(18) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 4(15) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) 10(10) 8(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2020-06-03 22:39:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUN 03 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 032038 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020 2100 UTC WED JUN 03 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 5(19) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 6(25) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) SHREVEPORT LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) JASPER TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) FRONTERA MX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) KEESLER AB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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