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Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2018-10-07 04:35:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN OCT 07 2018 000 FONT14 KNHC 070235 PWSAT4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOURTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 0300 UTC SUN OCT 07 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) 1(17) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 3(16) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 3(17) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 15(29) 2(31) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 12(31) 2(33) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 17(32) 2(34) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 17(30) 2(32) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 2(14) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) 2(23) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15(21) 2(23) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 19(44) 1(45) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) X(14) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) 1(19) MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 1(17) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 1(15) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 1(16) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 10(32) 1(33) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 1(12) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) 1(14) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) COZUMEL MX 34 3 11(14) 3(17) 2(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) COZUMEL MX 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 9( 9) 19(28) 5(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLE OF PINES 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2018-10-06 22:49:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 000 FONT14 KNHC 062049 PWSAT4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOURTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 2100 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 11(19) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 4(16) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 7(21) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 6(20) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) 5(28) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 15(25) 3(28) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 19(25) 6(31) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 21(26) 7(33) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 10(23) COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 8(18) BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 8(24) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) MONTGOMERY AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 6(28) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 5(27) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 22(35) 4(39) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 6(27) MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 4(23) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 4(21) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 3(20) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 18(33) 1(34) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 2(17) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) X(18) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 2(14) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 2(14) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) COZUMEL MX 34 X 9( 9) 11(20) 4(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) COZUMEL MX 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 9(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tags: number
potential
speed
wind
Tropical Storm Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 42
2018-10-06 22:36:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 000 FONT13 KNHC 062036 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 2100 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tropical Storm Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 41
2018-10-06 16:47:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 000 FONT13 KNHC 061447 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 1500 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Hurricane Sergio Wind Speed Probabilities Number 29
2018-10-06 16:43:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 061442 PWSEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 1500 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 15N 120W 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 26(52) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 10N 125W 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 125W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 125W 50 91 2(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 15N 125W 64 54 5(59) X(59) X(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 14(17) 23(40) 1(41) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) 15N 130W 34 1 3( 4) 7(11) 8(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Tags: number
speed
wind
sergio
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