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Hurricane Florence Wind Speed Probabilities Number 58

2018-09-13 22:33:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 13 2018 002 FONT11 KNHC 132033 PWSAT1 HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 58 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018 2100 UTC THU SEP 13 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BALTIMORE MD 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) DOVER DE 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 2( 6) WASHINGTON DC 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 2( 8) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) OCEAN CITY MD 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 2(10) PAX RIVER NAS 34 3 4( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 1(11) WALLOPS CDA 34 3 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 1(11) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 3 6( 9) 4(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15) 1(16) RICHMOND VA 34 4 12(16) 4(20) 1(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) DANVILLE VA 34 5 30(35) 6(41) 2(43) 2(45) X(45) X(45) DANVILLE VA 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK NAS 34 7 14(21) 4(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27) 1(28) NORFOLK VA 34 8 15(23) 4(27) 1(28) 1(29) X(29) 1(30) OCEANA NAS VA 34 8 16(24) 4(28) 1(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) ELIZABETH CTY 34 36 15(51) 3(54) 1(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) ELIZABETH CTY 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 4 36(40) 8(48) 2(50) 2(52) X(52) X(52) GREENSBORO NC 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) RALEIGH NC 34 26 43(69) 4(73) 2(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) RALEIGH NC 50 1 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) RALEIGH NC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ROCKY MT NC 34 61 18(79) 2(81) X(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) ROCKY MT NC 50 2 10(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ROCKY MT NC 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAPE HATTERAS 50 13 2(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) CAPE HATTERAS 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FAYETTEVILLE 34 70 25(95) 3(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) FAYETTEVILLE 50 4 51(55) 7(62) X(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) FAYETTEVILLE 64 X 21(21) 3(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) CHARLOTTE NC 34 3 31(34) 11(45) 5(50) 5(55) X(55) X(55) CHARLOTTE NC 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CHERRY PT NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHERRY PT NC 50 87 4(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) CHERRY PT NC 64 32 7(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) NEW RIVER NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW RIVER NC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW RIVER NC 64 65 1(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 50 98 X(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 64 78 1(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) SURF CITY NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SURF CITY NC 50 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SURF CITY NC 64 67 17(84) 3(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 50 92 7(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 64 44 31(75) 5(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) BALD HEAD ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 50 90 9(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 64 48 34(82) X(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) FLORENCE SC 34 17 61(78) 13(91) 2(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) FLORENCE SC 50 1 29(30) 18(48) 4(52) 2(54) X(54) X(54) FLORENCE SC 64 X 6( 6) 9(15) 1(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) COLUMBIA SC 34 3 32(35) 16(51) 8(59) 6(65) X(65) X(65) COLUMBIA SC 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) LITTLE RIVER 34 87 12(99) X(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LITTLE RIVER 50 22 64(86) 4(90) 1(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) LITTLE RIVER 64 1 50(51) 9(60) 2(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) MYRTLE BEACH 34 76 21(97) 1(98) X(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 50 12 61(73) 8(81) 2(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) MYRTLE BEACH 64 1 32(33) 17(50) 3(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) GEORGETOWN SC 34 24 55(79) 10(89) 2(91) X(91) 1(92) X(92) GEORGETOWN SC 50 1 29(30) 23(53) 4(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X 5( 5) 12(17) 3(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) CHARLESTON SC 34 4 38(42) 21(63) 6(69) 2(71) X(71) X(71) CHARLESTON SC 50 1 4( 5) 10(15) 7(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 14(17) 15(32) 8(40) 3(43) X(43) X(43) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ATLANTA GA 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) AUGUSTA GA 34 2 10(12) 10(22) 6(28) 7(35) X(35) X(35) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAVANNAH GA 34 2 7( 9) 10(19) 5(24) 4(28) X(28) X(28) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 2 3( 5) 5(10) 1(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) MAYPORT NS FL 34 1 4( 5) 5(10) 2(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) JACKSONVILLE 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Hurricane Florence Wind Speed Probabilities Number 57

2018-09-13 16:39:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 13 2018 247 FONT11 KNHC 131439 PWSAT1 HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 57 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018 1500 UTC THU SEP 13 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BALTIMORE MD 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) DOVER DE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) WASHINGTON DC 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) OCEAN CITY MD 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) 1(11) PAX RIVER NAS 34 2 5( 7) 4(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) 1(14) WALLOPS CDA 34 3 4( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) 1(13) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 2 6( 8) 7(15) 2(17) 1(18) 1(19) 1(20) RICHMOND VA 34 3 13(16) 8(24) 2(26) 1(27) X(27) 1(28) DANVILLE VA 34 3 28(31) 16(47) 4(51) 2(53) X(53) 1(54) DANVILLE VA 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 5 18(23) 8(31) 2(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) NORFOLK VA 34 6 19(25) 8(33) 2(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) OCEANA NAS VA 34 7 19(26) 8(34) 1(35) 1(36) X(36) 1(37) ELIZABETH CTY 34 34 20(54) 6(60) 2(62) X(62) X(62) 1(63) ELIZABETH CTY 50 2 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GREENSBORO NC 34 3 30(33) 19(52) 5(57) 2(59) 1(60) X(60) GREENSBORO NC 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) RALEIGH NC 34 7 54(61) 14(75) 2(77) 2(79) X(79) X(79) RALEIGH NC 50 1 9(10) 6(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) RALEIGH NC 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ROCKY MT NC 34 33 42(75) 6(81) 1(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) ROCKY MT NC 50 2 13(15) 5(20) X(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) ROCKY MT NC 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 91 1(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 1(94) CAPE HATTERAS 50 30 4(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) CAPE HATTERAS 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FAYETTEVILLE 34 28 61(89) 8(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) FAYETTEVILLE 50 2 44(46) 20(66) 3(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) FAYETTEVILLE 64 X 14(14) 14(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) CHARLOTTE NC 34 2 24(26) 22(48) 7(55) 6(61) X(61) 1(62) CHARLOTTE NC 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) CHERRY PT NC 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHERRY PT NC 50 67 22(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) CHERRY PT NC 64 19 27(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) NEW RIVER NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW RIVER NC 50 92 4(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) NEW RIVER NC 64 63 11(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 50 91 6(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) MOREHEAD CITY 64 63 18(81) 1(82) X(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) SURF CITY NC 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SURF CITY NC 50 68 30(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SURF CITY NC 64 23 65(88) 3(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) WILMINGTON NC 34 95 5(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 50 43 54(97) 1(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 64 7 75(82) 6(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) BALD HEAD ISL 34 91 9(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 50 56 41(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) BALD HEAD ISL 64 9 71(80) 5(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) FLORENCE SC 34 5 61(66) 24(90) 4(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) FLORENCE SC 50 1 17(18) 32(50) 9(59) 4(63) X(63) X(63) FLORENCE SC 64 X 3( 3) 16(19) 6(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) COLUMBIA SC 34 3 21(24) 30(54) 11(65) 6(71) 1(72) X(72) COLUMBIA SC 50 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 7(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 61 36(97) 2(99) X(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) LITTLE RIVER 50 3 74(77) 13(90) 1(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) LITTLE RIVER 64 X 39(39) 24(63) 3(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) MYRTLE BEACH 34 58 37(95) 3(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 50 4 60(64) 17(81) 3(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) MYRTLE BEACH 64 1 20(21) 29(50) 4(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) GEORGETOWN SC 34 7 63(70) 19(89) 2(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) GEORGETOWN SC 50 1 20(21) 30(51) 6(57) 2(59) X(59) X(59) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X 3( 3) 14(17) 4(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) CHARLESTON SC 34 3 30(33) 28(61) 9(70) 2(72) X(72) X(72) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 3( 3) 11(14) 6(20) 5(25) 1(26) X(26) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 2 10(12) 21(33) 9(42) 5(47) X(47) X(47) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ATLANTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14) AUGUSTA GA 34 2 6( 8) 16(24) 9(33) 8(41) 1(42) X(42) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) SAVANNAH GA 34 2 5( 7) 11(18) 7(25) 5(30) 1(31) X(31) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) KINGS BAY GA 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) 2(13) X(13) 1(14) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 3(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Storm Isaac Wind Speed Probabilities Number 24

2018-09-13 16:39:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 13 2018 249 FONT14 KNHC 131439 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092018 1500 UTC THU SEP 13 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAINT CROIX 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ANTIGUA 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GUADELOUPE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) AVES 34 66 X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) DOMINICA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Tropical Storm Helene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25

2018-09-13 16:37:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 13 2018 472 FONT13 KNHC 131437 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082018 1500 UTC THU SEP 13 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 37.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 39(52) 1(53) X(53) SANTA CRUZ AZO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) X(17) X(17) SANTA CRUZ AZO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PONTA DELGADA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 1(28) X(28) PONTA DELGADA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA

Tags: number speed wind storm

 

Subtropical Storm Joyce Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4

2018-09-13 16:37:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 13 2018 471 FONT15 KNHC 131437 PWSAT5 SUBTROPICAL STORM JOYCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102018 1500 UTC THU SEP 13 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

Tags: number speed wind storm

 

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