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Tropical Storm Paul Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

2018-09-10 04:30:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 10 2018 606 FOPZ13 KNHC 100230 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM PAUL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182018 0300 UTC MON SEP 10 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAUL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 120W 34 90 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) 20N 120W 50 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 125W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Hurricane Florence Wind Speed Probabilities Number 42

2018-09-09 22:46:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 09 2018 130 FONT11 KNHC 092046 PWSAT1 HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018 2100 UTC SUN SEP 09 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 14(20) ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) WASHINGTON DC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 10(22) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 17(29) PAX RIVER NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) PAX RIVER NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 14(27) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 26(40) CHARLOTTESVIL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) CHARLOTTESVIL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 27(47) RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) RICHMOND VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 39(66) DANVILLE VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 21(27) DANVILLE VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 22(47) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) NORFOLK NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 21(48) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 20(48) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) 23(59) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 10(22) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 40(69) GREENSBORO NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 22(29) GREENSBORO NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 40(40) 38(78) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 30(45) RALEIGH NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 43(43) 33(76) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 24(43) ROCKY MT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 63(65) 9(74) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 7(34) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 52(52) 33(85) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 33(59) FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 24(37) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 34(59) CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20(24) CHARLOTTE NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 64(65) 19(84) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 19(53) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 14(33) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 76(78) 10(88) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 46(46) 12(58) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 9(34) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 77(79) 10(89) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 47(47) 14(61) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 11(38) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 70(71) 18(89) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 43(43) 22(65) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 19(44) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 70(70) 19(89) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 43(43) 23(66) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 20(45) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 81(82) 9(91) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 55(55) 17(72) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) 17(52) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 46(46) 32(78) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 24(44) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 17(27) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 29(55) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 65(65) 20(85) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 38(38) 24(62) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 19(40) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 70(71) 15(86) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 41(41) 19(60) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 16(39) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 52(52) 23(75) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 17(43) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 16(28) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 20(57) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 14(28) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 18(41) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 21(35) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) AUGUSTA GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 17(32) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Hurricane Helene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10

2018-09-09 22:32:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 09 2018 972 FONT13 KNHC 092032 PWSAT3 HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082018 2100 UTC SUN SEP 09 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 26.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Storm Isaac Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

2018-09-09 22:32:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 09 2018 970 FONT14 KNHC 092032 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092018 2100 UTC SUN SEP 09 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PT GALLINAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) CURACAO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 9(19) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 8(18) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 9(22) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 5(21) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 6(27) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 3(26) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 5(31) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 29(32) 5(37) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 10(32) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 30(34) 4(38) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 2(15) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 28(33) 3(36) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 2(15) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 24(28) 2(30) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 1(23) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 18(25) 1(26) BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 1(13) GRENADA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) GRENADA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) TRINIDADTOBAGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) TRINIDADTOBAGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) PORT OF SPAIN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Tropical Storm Paul Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

2018-09-09 22:31:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 09 2018 877 FOPZ13 KNHC 092031 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM PAUL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182018 2100 UTC SUN SEP 09 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAUL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 120W 34 59 29(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 20N 120W 50 5 18(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 20N 120W 64 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 25N 120W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 125W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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