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Summary for Tropical Depression MANUEL (EP3/EP132013)

2013-09-20 01:31:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...MANUEL EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER TONIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MEXICO... As of 5:00 PM PDT Thu Sep 19 the center of MANUEL was located near 26.0, -106.8 with movement NE at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression MANUEL Public Advisory Number 22A

2013-09-20 01:31:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 500 PM PDT THU SEP 19 2013 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 192331 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132013 500 PM PDT THU SEP 19 2013 ...MANUEL EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER TONIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.0N 106.8W ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM E OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.8 WEST. MANUEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MANUEL IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO TONIGHT OR FRIDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...MANUEL IS STILL EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF SINALOA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MANUEL IS ALSO EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE STATES OF DURANGO AND CHIHUAHUA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Tropical Storm MANUEL Graphics

2013-09-19 23:12:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 19 Sep 2013 20:36:10 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 19 Sep 2013 21:05:25 GMT

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Tropical Storm MANUEL Forecast Discussion Number 22

2013-09-19 22:35:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT THU SEP 19 2013 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 192034 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM MANUEL DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132013 200 PM PDT THU SEP 19 2013 RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THAT THE ORGANIZATION OF MANUEL HAS DEGRADED THIS AFTERNOON...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 40 KT. MANUEL WILL MOVE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO SHORTLY...WHICH WILL CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN.... AND DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. THE CYCLONE IS NOW MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 6 KT...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL MANUEL DISSIPATES. HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/2100Z 25.7N 107.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 20/0600Z 26.3N 106.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Summary for Tropical Storm MANUEL (EP3/EP132013)

2013-09-19 22:34:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...MANUEL WEAKENING OVER MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING INLAND... As of 2:00 PM PDT Thu Sep 19 the center of MANUEL was located near 25.7, -107.1 with movement NE at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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