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Post-Tropical Cyclone Edouard Graphics
2020-07-06 22:36:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 06 Jul 2020 20:36:14 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 06 Jul 2020 21:24:48 GMT
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Edouard Forecast Discussion Number 10
2020-07-06 22:34:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Mon Jul 06 2020 000 WTNT45 KNHC 062033 TCDAT5 Post-Tropical Cyclone Edouard Discussion Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 500 PM AST Mon Jul 06 2020 Although Edouard continues to produce some deep convection, recent satellite imagery and scatterometer data indicate that the center of the cyclone has merged with a frontal boundary. Therefore, the system is now classified as extratropical and this is the last advisory. The scatterometer data showed max winds of 35-40 kt, so the initial intensity remains 40 kt. The 35 kt wind radii were also increased in the southeast quadrant based on the scatterometer data. The post-tropical cyclone is forecast to continue moving quickly northeastward for the next day or so until it is absorbed into a larger frontal zone over the north Atlantic late Tuesday or early Wednesday. The NHC track and intensity forecast is close to the global model consensus, and all of those models are in good agreement for the next 24 h. This is the last NHC advisory on Edouard. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/2100Z 42.7N 46.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 12H 07/0600Z 45.1N 40.7W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 07/1800Z 48.5N 33.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Edouard Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2020-07-06 22:34:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 06 2020 000 FONT15 KNHC 062033 PWSAT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EDOUARD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052020 2100 UTC MON JUL 06 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Edouard (AT5/AL052020)
2020-07-06 22:34:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EDOUARD BECOMES POST-TROPICAL... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... As of 5:00 PM AST Mon Jul 6 the center of Edouard was located near 42.7, -46.0 with movement NE at 38 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Edouard Public Advisory Number 10
2020-07-06 22:34:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Mon Jul 06 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 062033 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Edouard Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 500 PM AST Mon Jul 06 2020 ...EDOUARD BECOMES POST-TROPICAL... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...42.7N 46.0W ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM SE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 38 MPH...61 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Edouard was located near latitude 42.7 North, longitude 46.0 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving quickly toward the northeast near 38 mph (61 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. No significant change in strength is forecast before Edouard is absorbed into a larger frontal boundary on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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