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Tropical Storm HANNA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2014-10-27 14:04:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 27 2014 000 FONT14 KNHC 271304 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM HANNA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092014 1500 UTC MON OCT 27 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUERTO CABEZAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Summary for Tropical Storm HANNA (AT4/AL092014)
2014-10-27 14:03:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORMS JUST OFF OF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA... ...FORECAST TO MOVE INLAND SOON AND PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL... As of 11:00 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 the center of HANNA was located near 14.5, -83.2 with movement WSW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm HANNA Public Advisory Number 6
2014-10-27 14:03:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2014 000 WTNT34 KNHC 271303 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092014 1100 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2014 ...TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORMS JUST OFF OF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA... ...FORECAST TO MOVE INLAND SOON AND PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.5N 83.2W ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM NNE OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENTS OF HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA HAVE ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA PATUCA HONDURAS SOUTHWARD TO PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUNTA PATUCA HONDURAS SOUTHWARD TO PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST. HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA BY THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST ONCE HANNA MOVES INLAND...AND IT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND ON TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. RAINFALL...HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ACROSS HONDURAS AND NORTHERN NICARAGUA. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Storm HANNA Graphics
2014-10-27 14:03:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 27 Oct 2014 13:03:16 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 27 Oct 2014 13:01:44 GMT
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hanna
Tropical Storm HANNA Forecast Advisory Number 6
2014-10-27 14:01:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 27 2014 000 WTNT24 KNHC 271301 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092014 1500 UTC MON OCT 27 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENTS OF HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA HAVE ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA PATUCA HONDURAS SOUTHWARD TO PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUNTA PATUCA HONDURAS SOUTHWARD TO PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 83.2W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 60SW 70NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 83.2W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 82.9W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 14.0N 83.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 13.3N 84.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 83.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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