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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-23 19:36:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 231736 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Jun 23 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Recent visible satellite imagery indicates a weak area of low pressure has formed along a tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the Windward Islands. However, shower and thunderstorm activity associated with this low is limited. Increasing upper-level winds are likely to prevent further development of this system as it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A strong tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of Africa over the next day or so. Some gradual development of this system is possible by early next week while moving generally westward over the far eastern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-23 19:33:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 231733 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Jun 23 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorm have changed little in organization during the past several hours in association with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next couple of days as the disturbance moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. This system is expected to be near the coast of southern or southwestern Mexico this weekend, and interests in those areas should monitor its progress for development, and the threat of heavy rainfall and flooding. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-23 13:31:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 231131 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Jun 23 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the Windward Islands remain disorganized. Additional development of this system is unlikely while moving west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph into an area of stronger upper-level winds by Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-23 13:24:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 231124 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Jun 23 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorm are showing signs of organization in association with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next couple of days as the disturbance moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. This system is expected to be near the coast of southern or southwestern Mexico by this weekend, and interests in those areas should monitor its progress for development, and the threat of heavy rainfall and flooding. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-23 07:03:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 230503 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Jun 22 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave have been increasing in coverage several hundred miles south of the coasts of Guatemala and southern Mexico, but overall the activity remains disorganized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form late this week or this weekend while moving west-northwestward at about 10 mph. This system is expected to be near the coast of southern or southwestern Mexico by this weekend, and interests in those areas should monitor its progress for development and the threat of heavy rainfall. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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