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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-10-10 07:24:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 100524 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Oct 10 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large non-tropical low pressure area is nearly stationary located about 100 miles southeast of Morehead City, North Carolina. While recent satellite wind data indicates that the center has become better defined while producing an area of gale-force winds in its northern semicircle, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity near the center is minimal and has not become better organized. This system could still become a short-lived subtropical storm later today, but environmental conditions should become unfavorable for any further development on Monday. The low is forecast to move slowly northward and approach eastern North Carolina later today. Interests in that area should monitor the progress of this system and refer to local National Weather Service office products for more information. Regardless of development, intermittent periods of locally heavy rains and gusty winds will affect southeastern and eastern portions of North Carolina during the next day or two. Additional information on this low pressure system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Papin
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-10-10 07:22:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 100522 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Oct 9 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico continue to become better organized. Recent satellite wind data also suggests that the circulation is becoming better defined. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form later today while the system moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph south of the coast of Mexico. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Papin
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-10-10 01:09:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
711 ABNT20 KNHC 092309 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Oct 9 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance unit aircraft has recently been flying through the large non-tropical low pressure area located about 100 miles southeast of Morehead City, North Carolina. While the low is producing a broad area of gale-force winds to the north and east of the center, the plane did not find a well-defined center, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has not become any better organized today. This system could still become a short-lived subtropical storm through Sunday, but environmental conditions should become unfavorable for any further development on Monday. The low is forecast to move slowly northwestward and approach eastern North Carolina tonight and early Sunday. Interests in that area should monitor the progress of this system and refer to local National Weather Service office products for more information. Regardless of development, intermittent periods of locally heavy rains and gusty winds will affect southeastern and eastern portions of North Carolina during the next day or two. Additional information on this low pressure system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-10-10 01:01:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 092301 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Oct 9 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico are gradually becoming better organized. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form within the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph south of the coast of Mexico. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-10-09 19:48:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 091747 CCA TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Oct 9 2021 Corrected wording in first paragraph For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite-derived wind data and surface observations indicate that a large, non-tropical low pressure system located about 150 miles southeast of Morehead City and Wilmington, North Carolina, is producing a broad area of gale-force winds to the west and north of the center. Associated shower and thunderstorm activity has been gradually increasing and becoming better organized today, and the low could acquire subtropical characteristics late this afternoon through early Sunday. However, by late Sunday and Monday, environmental conditions should become unfavorable for any further development. The low is forecast to move slowly northwestward during the next day or so, and approach the North Carolina coast tonight and early Sunday. Therefore, interests along the North Carolina coast should monitor the progress of this system. See local National Weather Service office products for more information. Regardless of development, intermittent periods of locally heavy rains and gusty winds will affect southeastern and eastern portions of North Carolina during the next day or two. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is currently investigating the gale area. Additional information on this low pressure system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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