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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-11-17 18:26:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

495 ABPZ20 KNHC 171726 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1000 AM PST Tue Nov 17 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Visible satellite imagery indicates that the circulation of the area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become better defined, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is also showing signs of organization. Although environmental conditions are only somewhat conducive for additional development, only a slight increase in organization of the system would result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression late today or tomorrow as it moves west-northwestward or northwestward at about 10 mph. Conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for further development on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-11-17 12:39:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 171139 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 AM EST Tue Nov 17 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Iota, located inland over Nicaragua. A broad area of low pressure could form in a couple of days over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for slow development, and a tropical depression could form by the weekend while the system moves slowly westward or west-southwestward across the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rain are possible during the next several days from Nicaragua southward across Central America and into Colombia. These rains could cause new flooding concerns, especially across previously inundated areas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-11-17 12:38:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171138 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 400 AM PST Tue Nov 17 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico have changed little in organization overnight. Although environmental conditions are only somewhat conducive for development, a short-lived tropical depression could still form within a day or so as the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward at about 10 mph. Conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for further development on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-11-17 06:59:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 170559 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1000 PM PST Mon Nov 16 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms continue to show some signs of organization in association with a disturbance located several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southern Mexico. However, recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the system lacks a well-defined center. Although environmental conditions are only somewhat conducive for development, a short-lived tropical depression could still form within the next couple of days as the low moves west-northwestward or northwestward at about 10 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. By midweek, conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-11-17 06:50:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 170550 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 AM EST Tue Nov 17 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Iota, located inland over extreme northeastern Nicaragua. A new area of low pressure could form in a couple of days over the central or southwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some development, and a tropical depression could form by the end of the week while the system moves slowly westward or west-southwestward across the southwestern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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