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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-13 01:38:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 122338 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Paulette and Tropical Depression Rene, both located over the central Atlantic Ocean, on Tropical Storm Sally, centered over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Twenty, located over the eastern Tropical Atlantic. A surface trough over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is producing limited shower activity. While some slow development of this system is possible, strong upper-level winds related to Tropical Storm Sally will probably limit the chances of tropical cyclone formation. The disturbance is forecast to move westward and then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf of Mexico through the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Showers and thunderstorms located near and west of the Cabo Verde Islands are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions support some additional development, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic during the next two or three days while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. By mid-week, upper-level winds should become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-13 01:30:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 122330 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Sep 12 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A small area of low pressure is located a little more than 700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is producing little shower or thunderstorm activity and further development is not anticipated. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a well-defined low located about 500 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to show signs of organization. If current trends continue, advisories will be initiated on a tropical depression later this evening or overnight. This system is forecast to move generally west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high..90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-12 19:51:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121751 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Sep 12 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located about 700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Additional development of this system is becoming less likely over the next day or so before it interacts with, and is possibly absorbed by, a larger weather disturbance to its east-southeast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Another area of low pressure is located several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Associated shower and thunderstorm activity has become more concentrated near the center of the low today. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high..80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-12 19:49:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 121748 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Paulette and Tropical Depression Rene, both located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Sally, located near southern Florida. A surface trough over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible while it moves westward and then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf of Mexico through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Satellite imagery and satellite-derived wind data indicate that the area of low pressure located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become better defined. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity is also becoming better organized. If this development trend continues, then a tropical depression will likely form later today or tonight. The system is expected to move westward then northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic over the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms located near the Cabo Verde Islands are associated with a broad area of low pressure that has developed along a tropical wave. Environmental conditions support some additional development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic early next week while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. By mid-week, upper-level winds could become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && Public Advisories on Sally are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Sally are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-12 13:45:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 121145 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Paulette and Tropical Storm Rene, both located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen, located near southern Florida. A surface trough over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible while it moves westward and then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf of Mexico through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is forecast, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another area of disturbed weather, associated with a tropical wave, is located near the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions support some development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic early next week while the system moves slowly westward. By mid-week, upper-level winds could become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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