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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-16 13:22:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161121 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Aug 16 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Advisories are also being issued on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located about 1700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec have continued to become better organized overnight, and it appears that a tropical depression or storm is forming. If these development trends continue, advisories will be issued on this system this morning. The low is expected to move generally west-northwestward, well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEP1, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEP1.php $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-16 07:26:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 160526 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Josephine, located just over a hundred miles north-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Kyle, located several hundred miles southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland. A fast-moving tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands is producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move westward at about 20 mph during the next few days, and that fast speed is likely to limit development while the system approaches the Windward and southern Leeward Islands today and Monday and moves across the eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday. After that time, the system is expected to move more slowly westward across the central and western Caribbean Sea, and upper-level winds could be conducive for development during the middle to latter part of this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Another tropical wave moving off the coast of Africa is producing a large area of cloudiness and showers. This wave is forecast to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days, and some development will be possible by the middle to latter part of the week as environmental conditions become more conducive while the system is over the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-16 07:24:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 160524 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 15 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has begun issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located about 1700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm will likely form on Sunday. This system is expected to move generally west-northwestward, well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. Additional information on the low south-southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEP1, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEP1.php $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-16 01:21:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 152321 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Aug 15 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An elongated area of low pressure is located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The associated showers and thunderstorms have not become any better organized during the past several hours, however, environmental conditions are favorable for the system to become a tropical depression later tonight or on Sunday while it moves generally northwestward. Development is not expected after that time as the system is forecast to move over cooler waters and into a drier environment. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are showing signs of organization. Although this low is still broad and elongated, environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm will likely form on Sunday. This system is expected to move generally west-northwestward, well offshore the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-16 01:17:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 152317 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Josephine, located over the tropical Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Kyle, located several hundred miles southeast of the New England states of the United States. A westward-moving tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands is currently producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. However, upper-level winds are expected to become a little more conducive for development by the middle of next week as the disturbance approaches the central and southern Lesser Antilles and moves into the eastern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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