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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-20 19:47:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 201746 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Jul 20 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Cuba, the central and northwestern Bahamas, and the adjacent Atlantic waters are associated with a tropical wave. This system is expected to move west-northwestward through the Straits of Florida today and tonight, over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday, across the central Gulf on Wednesday, and reach the northwestern Gulf on Thursday. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development of this system once it reaches the Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system tomorrow, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has changed little in organization during the past several hours. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for development of this system during the next few days while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic. By Friday and over the weekend, conditions are forecast to become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Surface observations indicate that a weak low pressure area is located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity has become a little better organized during the past several hours. However, the system is expected to move inland over Texas tonight or Tuesday before significant additional development can occur. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of southeastern Texas and southern Louisiana during the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
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tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-20 19:29:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201729 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Jul 20 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E, located more than a thousand miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and has initiated advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Eight-E, located almost a thousand miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2. Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. $$ Forecaster Berg
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weather
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eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-20 13:45:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 201145 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Jul 20 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the Bahamas, central and eastern Cuba, and the adjacent Atlantic waters are associated with a tropical wave. This system is expected to move west-northwestward through the Straits of Florida today, over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday, across the central Gulf on Wednesday, and reach the northwestern Gulf on Thursday. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development of this system once it reaches the Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become a little better organized this morning. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for development of this system during the next few days while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic. By Friday and over the weekend, conditions are forecast to become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Surface observations indicate that a weak low pressure area has formed over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity is currently disorganized, and little additional development is expected before the system moves inland over Texas tonight or Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-20 13:44:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201144 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Jul 20 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has initiated advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Seven-E, located more than a thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A low pressure system located about 850 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of organization, and recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the low is producing winds just below tropical storm force. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or two while the low moves west-southwestward and then westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-07-20 07:43:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 200543 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Jul 19 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A small low pressure system is located a more than 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although the low is beginning to move over cooler waters, the associated thunderstorm activity has continued to increase over the past few hours, and this system could become a short-lived tropical depression later tonight or on Monday while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A low pressure system producing an area of thunderstorms more than 800 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days while it moves west-southwestward and then westward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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