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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-11-17 18:26:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

495 ABPZ20 KNHC 171726 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1000 AM PST Tue Nov 17 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Visible satellite imagery indicates that the circulation of the area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become better defined, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is also showing signs of organization. Although environmental conditions are only somewhat conducive for additional development, only a slight increase in organization of the system would result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression late today or tomorrow as it moves west-northwestward or northwestward at about 10 mph. Conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for further development on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-11-17 12:38:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171138 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 400 AM PST Tue Nov 17 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico have changed little in organization overnight. Although environmental conditions are only somewhat conducive for development, a short-lived tropical depression could still form within a day or so as the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward at about 10 mph. Conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for further development on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-11-17 06:59:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 170559 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1000 PM PST Mon Nov 16 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms continue to show some signs of organization in association with a disturbance located several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southern Mexico. However, recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the system lacks a well-defined center. Although environmental conditions are only somewhat conducive for development, a short-lived tropical depression could still form within the next couple of days as the low moves west-northwestward or northwestward at about 10 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. By midweek, conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-11-17 00:28:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 162328 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 400 PM PST Mon Nov 16 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in association with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southern Mexico. Although environmental conditions are only somewhat conducive for development, a short-lived tropical depression could still form within the next couple of days as the low moves west-northwestward or northwestward at about 10 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. By midweek, conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Roberts

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-11-16 18:29:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161729 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1000 AM PST Mon Nov 16 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southern Mexico have increased and become a little better organized since yesterday. Although environmental conditions are forecast to be only marginally conducive, some additional development is possible, and the system could become a short-lived tropical depression within the next couple of days. The low is forecast to move west-northwestward or northwestward at about 10 mph away from the coast of Mexico. Conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development around midweek. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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