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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-07 19:41:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 071741 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 7 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to increase in organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression later today or tonight while it moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, just offshore of the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, outer rainbands from the disturbance are likely to produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds along the coast of the Mexican states of Colima and Jalisco through tonight. Additional information on this system, including storm warnings, can be found in the High Seas Forecast issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Shower activity remains limited in association with a small low pressure area located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California. Additional development of this system is no longer anticipated due to unfavorable environmental conditions. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Latto
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-07 13:48:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 071147 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Sep 7 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to show some signs of organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next day or so while it moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, just offshore of the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, outer rainbands from the disturbance are likely to produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds along the coast of the Mexican states of Colima and Jalisco through Tuesday. Additional information on this system can be found in the High Seas Forecast issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Shower activity is limited in association with a small low pressure area located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California. Development, if any, of this system is likely to be slow over the next day or so while it drifts northward. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-07 07:32:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 070532 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 6 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to show some signs of organization. Although recent satellite wind data indicate that the circulation remains broad, environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next day or so while it moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, just offshore of the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, outer rainbands from the disturbance are likely to produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds along the coast of the Mexican states of Colima and Jalisco through Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A small low pressure area located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this system is likely to be slow over the next day or two while it drifts northward. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-07 01:33:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
366 ABPZ20 KNHC 062333 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Sep 6 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with an broad area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while it moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, just offshore of the coast of Mexico. However, outer rainbands will produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds along the coast of the Mexican states of Colima and Jalisco for the next day or so. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this system is likely to be slow over the next couple of days while it drifts northward. By late this week, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-06 19:31:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 061731 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 6 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized this morning in association with an elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by midweek while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, just offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system, if any, is likely to be slow over the next couple of days while it drifts northward. By late this week, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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